Three-year-olds have a superior strike-rate in Nottingham’s 1m2f Integral UK Handicap](https://gg.co.uk/racing/17-oct-2018/nottingham-1535) (3.35), with six winners from 32 runners in the past ten years, compared to four from 100 for older horses. John Gosden is two from three in that period and his WHITLOCK is worthy of support. He’s not had much luck in two runs at Sandown since scoring at Newmarket in August, doing best of those to race towards the inside rail on a day the outside route was favoured and then going down by half-a-length. He earned a huge speed figure for that latest effort and deserves to be shorter than the general 9-2.
Since running green on his racecourse debut GOOD EFFORT (stall 1 of 9) has form figures on straight tracks of 4312 (1-4), with the latest defeat – a four and a half-length 16-1 runner-up effort in Listed company at Newbury - excusable as he hit the front plenty soon enough into the strong headwind. He can be backed in the 7f Class 2 Wreake Handicap at Leicester (3.05) where he’s well drawn towards the centre of the track.
Mick Channon has a good record when using a 3lb or 5lb claiming jockey on his runners that he claimed 7lb off the time before. Since the start of 2010, 11 of the 40 qualifiers won (27.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £33.83 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£42.41 at Betfair SP). He’s had two winners (10-1 and 9-2) from three runners under these conditions in 2018 (the other was unplaced at 33-1) and MACHO MOVER fits the bill in the Ben Woollacott Memorial Handicap at Windsor today (1.40).
ON TOUR tends to perform best in the early months of the jumps season, with form figures of 1211111201 (7-10) from September to November, and can be backed in the Gent Transport & Warehousing Veterans’ Handicap Chase at Chepstow on Sunday (4.00).
Today’s weather at York is forecast to be the same as yesterday’s, with a very strong tailwind in the straight. It was hugely difficult to come from off the pace over the shorter distances and I want to be with prominent racers again.