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Articles by Andrew Mount

Track Bias Diary - Wednesday 10 April

Andrew Mount 10:20pm, Tue 9 Apr 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Front-runners enjoyed a massive advantage at the York meeting on 12 October thanks to a strong tailwind in the straight, with the first five home in the 5f nursery receiving the comments ‘close up’, ‘prominent’, ‘in touch’, led’ and ‘in touch’. I suspect that fourth home Enchanted Linda ('led') was flattered yet she heads the market at 7-2 for the 5f Join Racing TV Now Handicap at Nottingham on Wednesday (2.00).

Track Bias Diary - Tuesday 9 April

Andrew Mount 9:24am, Tue 9 Apr 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Pontefract is one of my favourite punting tracks but after spending a few hours on the card I’m struggling to find a bet. Early season, it’s usually a big advantage to race towards the inside from a low draw but I’d rather let the first few races go to see if this is still the case (the bias was all over the place last season after ‘selective’ watering).

Track Bias Diary - Sunday 7 April

Andrew Mount 7:06pm, Sat 6 Apr 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Chris Gordon has a good record when fitting first-time cheekpieces to his hurdlers, scoring with eight of the 36 qualifiers (22.2% strike-rate) for a profit of £53.25 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£80.02 at Betfair SP). Six of the 28 beaten horses finished second, often at big odds (12-1, 12-1, 10-1, 13-2, 100-30 and 7-4).

Track Bias Diary - Thursday 4 April

Andrew Mount 8:35am, Thu 4 Apr 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Rod Millman does well when he fits a filly or mare with blinkers for the first time, scoring with seven of the 26 qualifiers since 2009 (27% strike-rate) for a profit of £73.00 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£122.29 at Betfair SP).

Track Bias Diary - Monday 1 April

Andrew Mount 9:15am, Mon 1 Apr 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2BUGLER BOB has yet to race on the all-weather but the son of Dandy Man has the perfect pedigree for Tapeta. Backing his sire’s offspring on Tapeta here or at Wolverhampton would have found 43 winners from 392 runners (11% strike-rate) for a huge profit of £216.87 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£988.23 at Betfair SP).

Track Bias Diary - Saturday, March 30

Andrew Mount 8:33am, Sat 30 Mar 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Brian Meehan has a good record at Doncaster and had we bet his runners blind here this century we would have found 30 winners from 251 bets (12% strike-rate) for a profit of £49.25 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£100.73 at Betfair SP). Those that were returning from a layoff of 150 days or longer won six of their 18 starts (33.33%) for a profit of £39.50 to £1 at SP.

Track Bias Diary - Thursday, March 28

Andrew Mount 8:31am, Thu 28 Mar 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Michael Scudamore has a fine record with runners having their start in a handicap chase, scoring with ten of the 46 qualifiers since 2008 (21.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £35.75 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who ran over hurdles last time out, as opposed to running in a non-handicap chase, had a nine from 31 record (29%) for a profit of £44.75.

Track Bias Diary - Tuesday 26 March

Andrew Mount 7:41am, Tue 26 Mar 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2The ‘dead’ rail was in evidence at Wolverhampton again last night, with the winners, most of which arrived late and wide, drawn 7 of 12, 7 of 12, 5 of 11, 4 of 11, 9 of 9 and 8 of 11. Low-drawn prominent racers could again struggle tonight.

Track Bias Diary - Sunday 24 March

Andrew Mount 5:56pm, Sat 23 Mar 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Since the Tote Irish Lincolnshire (4.10) was moved to Naas from the Curragh, both winners have arrived late around the inside from low draws (stalls one and three). That’s obviously a very small sample size but if we look at all big-field handicaps over course and distance in recent years a low-draw bias is evident, with eight of the 15 winners in fields of 14+ coming from stalls one, two, three or four.

Track Bias Diary - Friday 22 March

Andrew Mount 4:10pm, Thu 21 Mar 2019

image-left-align track-bia14s-diary-v2Three-year-old break-returners have a good record in all-weather handicaps at this time of year, as they’re often up against rivals who have crept up the handicap during busy winter campaigns. Simply backing those returning from an absence of 150 days or longer, in March or April, would have found 60 winners from 408 bets since 2016 (14.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £68.61 to a £1 level stake at SP.

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