Sedgefield is a track for course experts and, since 2013, had we bet every last-time-out course winner at this venue we would have won 42 of our 122 bets (34.4% strike-rate) and made a profit of £152.20 to a £10 level stake at SP (+£247.50 at Betfair SP).
MAIN FACT is the latest qualifier, having won by five lengths at 28-1 over 2m1f here in late November. That was the five-year-old’s first run in a handicap hurdle and there could be more to come when he steps up in trip for the 2m4f Wills Property Services Handicap Hurdle this afternoon (1.10).
BRIDGE OF SIGHS (stall 1 of 11), who goes in division two of the 1m Play Slots At Sunbets.co.uk/vegas Handicap at Lingfield (1.50), is the latest qualifier on my ‘Chelmsford Flops’ system. These are horses that started at 12-1 or shorter when unplaced at Chelmsford on their latest outing who are now switching to a different all-weather venue. Bridge of Sighs was 9-1 when last of seven at Chelmsford on his most recent outing, where caught towards the outside from his stall 5 draw (winner drawn 2). Today’s class drop is also significant, as his record in Class 6 or lower company on the all-weather stands at: 1211 (3-4) with the defeat by three-quarters of a length when drawn in stall 11 at Chelmsford.
Main Fact – Sedgefield 1.10 (2pts win, 11-4 generally)
Bridge of Sighs – Lingfield 1.50 (1pt each-way, 7-1 generally)