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Stayers’ Hurdle Trends: Check out the stats for Thursday’s Grade 1 event at Cheltenham Festival

One of the feature races on day three of the Cheltenham Festival is the Grade 1 Stayers’ Hurdle, which in 2024 takes place on Thursday 14th March and it’s a race that attracts the leading staying hurdlers from the UK & Ireland. Looking to help you unearth the winner of the competitive-looking event, here at GG we have scoured through the history books and statistics and taken a look at the all-important trends for the race.

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Age

Class, grit, determination and most importantly stamina is needed to win the 3m Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival and in recent times it’s often seen the young guns dominate the event. It can also be a race that sees horses win more than one during their career. The legendary Big Buck’s is the most successful horse in recent times having won four renewals on the bounce, while the likes of Inglis Drever and Flooring Porter have also won the event on more than one occasion.

Seven-year-olds have been the most dominant over the last 20 years by winning seven renewals, while six-year-olds have won six renewals in the last two decades. However, in 2023 the 11-year-old Sire Du Berlais rolled back the years to show that veterans can claim victory as he stormed home for a shock 33/1 win in the race.

Age Of Stayers’ Hurdle Winners In Last 20 Years

  • 6 – 6 winners
  • 7 – 7 winners
  • 8 – 3 winners
  • 9 – 3 winner
  • 10+ – 1 winner

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Starting Price

There may have been six winning favourites in the last 20 runnings of the Stayers’ Hurdle, but while some of the other Championship races at the Cheltenham Festival have been dominated by the market leaders the Stayers’ Hurdle can often spring a shock or two. Often attracting the most competitive line-up of the big races at the Cheltenham Festival, it’s a race that can see plenty of horses in with a chance of landing the prize.

The Paul Nicholls-trained Big Buck’s was the dominant force for years in the staying division and three of his four wins came as an odds-on favourite, but since then there have been some shock winners with 50/1 outsider Lisnagar Oscar claiming victory for Rebecca Curtis in 2020, while in 2023 the 33/1 shot Sire Du Berlais was another surprise victory to emphasise the fact that there can be an unlikely result in this event.

Starting Price Of Stayers’ Hurdle Winners In Last 20 Years

  • 1/2 to Evens – 4 winners
  • 11/10 to 3/1 – 2 winners
  • 100/30 to 6/1- 5 winners
  • 13/2 to 10/1 – 4 winners
  • 11/1 to 16/1 – 3 winners
  • 20/1+ – 2 winners
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Rating

It’s certainly a mixed bag when looking back at recent winners of the Stayers’ Hurdle when it comes to official ratings as the legendary Big Buck’s won the race on three occasions from a mark of 174, while the shock 50/1 winner Lisnagar Oscar was rated a meagre 146 when he won in 2020. This emphasises that you don’t have to be highly rated to compete in a Stayers’ Hurdle and Sire Du Berlais was only rated in the low 150s last season, so it’s a wide open heat.

We’ve not seen a staying hurdler in the same stratosphere as Big Buck’s recently and while Thistlecrack showed glimmers of being an elite performer his longevity waned in the latter part of his career and the official ratings show that the most popular winner in the last 15 years is rated between 156 and 160, so certainly keep that under consideration when trying to find the winner.

Official Rating Of Stayers’ Hurdle Winners In Last 15 Years

  • 145-150 – 1 winner
  • 151-155 – 3 winners
  • 156-160 – 5 winners
  • 161-165 – 1 winner
  • 166-170 – 2 winners
  • 171+ – 3 winners
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