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Golden Mile Trends – Who Do Stats Favour for Friday’s Feature Handicap?

The Coral Golden Mile is the feature handicap on the fourth day of Glorious Goodwood and our trends expert has delved into the recent renewals to provide some pointers to help narrow down the field for this year’s race. Check this out below, along with an exclusive 888sport offer, which is providing £20 in Free Bets when you bet £5 on any horse racing market.



GOLDEN MILE (15:00 Goodwood, Friday, July 29th)


Last Ten Winners

2021 – Maydanny (Mark Johnston, Jim Crowley) 8/1

2020 – Prompting (David O’Meara, Harry Bentley) 3/1F

2019 – Beat Le Bon (Richard Hannon, Pat Dobbs) 17/2

2018 – Seniority (William Haggas, Ryan Moore) 9/2J

2017 – Master Of The World (David Elsworth, Ryan Moore) 6/1

2016 – Franklin D (Michael Bell, Ryan Moore) 7/4F

2015 – Belgian Bill (George Baker, Pat Cosgrave) 20/1

2014 – Red Avenger (Ed Dunlop, Jimmy Fortune) 12/1

2013 – Wentworth (Richard Hannon Sr, Richard Hughes) 6/1

2012 – Fulbright (Mark Johnston, Silvestre De Sousa) 7/1




Form: Top 3 Finish Last Time Out (7/10)

Seven of the last ten Golden Mile winners finished in the top three on their last start. Of those towards the head of the market, Rhoscolyn has been out of sorts recently so has this trend to buck. Four of the last ten winners of the Golden Mile won last time out, which is a plus for the likes of Noble Dynasty and Shining Blue.

Rating: Officially Rated Between 96-104 (9/10)

Nine of the last ten Golden Mile winners were officially rated between 96 and 104, with the only exception being the 89-rated Prompting in 2020. Blue For You, rated only 93, falls slightly out of this bracket, albeit it’s worth noting that she hails from the same stable as Prompting.

Runs: Had 17 or Fewer Previous Runs (8/10)

Less exposed horses have been the ones to focus on in the Golden Mile recently with eight of the last ten winners coming into the race on the back of fewer than 17 runs, with six winners running less than 13 times prior to their wins in the race. Sinjaari has had 19 runs and therefore is a little experienced for a typical Golden Mile winner.



Class: Previous Class 2 Winner (9/10)

Nine of the last ten Golden Mile winners had won a Class 2 race of some description previously, with the exception, Prompting, making his first start at the level. This is a negative trend for the favourite Noble Dynasty, who hasn’t won at this level previously yet has raced in a Class 2 handicap at Haydock before.

Draw: Drawn in a Single Figure Stall (9/10)

The Golden Mile is run over a sharp 7f and track positioning is crucial, it is, therefore, no surprise that nine of the last ten winners of the race were drawn in a single-figure stall. Shining Blue (20) and Jimi Hendrix (21) are berthed very wide and have this trend to buck.

Betting: Priced at 12/1 or Shorter (9/10)

The betting usually gets the Golden Mile right with nine of the last ten winners going off at odds of 12/1 or shorter, the exception being 20/1 winner Belgian Bill (2015), albeit he wasn’t the first past the post. This suggests that the likes of Fast Medicine, Shelir and Positive are unlikely to be troubling the judge here.



Last Run: Had Raced in the Last 50 Days (9/10)

A recent run is often beneficiary in the Golden Mile, with nine of the last ten winners having run in the last 50 days. Belgian Bill (2015) was making his first start since the Lincoln when scoring, albeit he was awarded his race due to disqualification of the first past the post. Amanda Perrett’s Rebel Territory hasn’t been seen since late May (64 days) which is an obvious negative from a trends perspective.

Headgear: Didn’t Wear Headgear (6/10)

Not a trend to set your watch to, but six of the last ten Golden Mile winners didn’t carry any form of headgear to victory. Overall, horses that wore headgear in the Golden Mile are 4-66 in the last decade.

Age: Aged No Older Than 5yo (8/10)

Tying into the trend of less exposed horses tending to fare best in the Golden Mile, age is an important factor and eight of the last ten winners were aged no older than 5. The 8yo Escobar is older than a typical Golden Mile winner.



Belgian Bill’s 2015 Golden Mile victory came by virtue of the disqualification of first past the post So Beloved, and therefore the two trends that he fell short on, but all the other winners hit, being priced at 12/1 or shorter and having run in the last 50 days, looks a good starting point for identifying a Golden Mile winner.

This knocks us down to a list of eight, and with the removal of favourite Noble Dynasty and Lawful Command due to neither being a Class 2 winner, despite both having raced at this level previously, we are down to a list of six.

Nine of the last ten Golden Mile winners were officially rated between 96 and 104, and when we bring this trend into effect, we have a shortlist of just two, Shining Blue and SALEYMM.

Neither of these is an ideal trends fit given that they are both berthed in double-figure stalls, but Saleymm is in 13, the same stall that the trend exception, Wentworth, won from in 2022 and he fits the remaining trends, being no older than 4, a previous Class 2 winner, which was interestingly gained last time out.

He is fitted with a tongue tie, but headgear, or a lack of it, doesn’t look like a strong trend.


Coral Golden Mile Handicap
Result
14th 12/1