With Jason Watson currently on the sidelines, Paul Mulrennan stands as the most profitable of the top 50 jockeys in 2022. With 50/1 and 16/1 winners in the last week, it is not difficult to see why, so we have analysed his five chances at Carlisle on Wednesday, alongside SBK‘s new customer offer of £30 in Free Bets when you deposit £10.
Cuban Rock (1.20 Carlisle)
Mulrennan’s profit of 74.44 points to a level stake would be increased the least by his opening ride. CUBAN ROCK could well end up being among the most fancied.
Unusually for a two-year-old at this stage of his career, he has already changed yards. After two starts for Gemma Tutty, he has moved to Jim Goldie’s yard in Scotland, with Goldie a part-owner of him. His two efforts brought contrasting results: a seventh of nine at Catterick before an excellent second to Explicit at Musselburgh. That winner has since gone in again in great style.
That suggests that this son of Havana Grey will be well up to winning at some point as a juvenile. The third, fourth and fifth may not boost that form particularly, especially as the race was only a selling contest, but his proximity to the winner was certainly promising.
If handling the change of scenery at home, he could easily make his third race a winning one.
B Associates (1.55 Carlisle)
Likely to be the outsider of all Mulrennan’s rides, B ASSOCIATES will have to step up markedly on his debut. That may be likelier than at first glance, however.
Though he was only fourth of five on his first run, he had finished ahead of a horse who had placed previously. Moreover, the third that day, beaten 9½ lengths, filled the same position next time, but finished only 2½ lengths behind.
Equally, the winner, Finn’s Charm, ran very well for a long way in the Listed Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot, ultimately coming home in fourth. As such, though he was well beaten, B Associates was at least running in a strong race.
As a son of War Command and out of a half-sister to a Group 3 winner, he is not too badly bred for two-year-old races. With eight of his 12 rivals being unraced, he could make his experience count each-way.
Tommy G (2.55 Carlisle)
The veteran TOMMY G is currently the rank outsider for this handicap, but the nine-year-old may still have a lease of life yet.
It is only four starts since he was victorious at Musselburgh over 1m1f off a mark of 71. This will be his fourth start in a row off 74, but he has not been disgraced in any of his previous three efforts.
He was fourth at Ayr, over this trip of 1m, beaten only 1¼ lengths, while only a lack of racing room saw him finish as far back as he did at Musselburgh. The step up to 1m2f at Ayr proved too far from this once useful sprinter, but he ran a good race up until the final furlong that day, finishing fourth once again in a field of seven.
Though this race comes too soon to adjust his rating down 1lb, he is not definitively poorly treated here, with these conditions likely to suit better.
Grand Canal (3.25 Carlisle)
As with Tommy G, GRAND CANAL is being turned out within five days by Jim Goldie. Mulrennan has been aboard for both of his two successes at Ayr this season.
He was arguably well-placed by his trainer to pick up small field races over 1m5f and 1m7f, but he has nonetheless progressed with every start this season. Only sixth of seven at Hamilton over 1m3f, Grand Canal finished in the same spot upped 2f the following week, but beaten by a significantly shorter distance in a field of 13.
The son of Australia then scored his first success, but with that being by only a short head, he likely showed even more when third at Musselburgh under a 5lb penalty the time after. His last success has ensured another 5lb penalty, seeing him compete off a mark of 78 here.
The drop back to 1m3f could be a bit stiff for him, but his stamina could also play a part if Mulrennan can set the fractions from the front.
Riches Baar (3.55 Carlisle)
The only ride Mulrennan has for a trainer other than Goldie is aboard RISHES BAAR for David O’Meara. It comes in the feature race of the day, the Listed Eternal Stakes over 7f.
The three-year-old has struggled to make an impact so far this term, having run two decent races in Group company as a juvenile. She was well-beaten behind Cachet in the Nell Gwyn Stakes, before equally adrift in a Listed race at York.
First-time headgear appeared to have sharpened her up at Haydock in handicap company last time, albeit in only a three-runner race. However, she gave an odds-on favourite a lot to think about and the drop back to 7f here looks a positive.
Only the favourite Oscula stands out here from a form perspective, so it would not be beyond Rishes Baar to be competitive at this level if continuing to find elements of improvement.