The feature race on Day 4 of Royal Ascot is the Group 1 Platinum Jubilee Stakes and our team of tipsters and writers have had their say on who is likely to come out on top on Saturday afternoon. Check out their thoughts below, along with a new customer sign-up at Betfred, who are offering new customers a Bet £10 – Get £60 In Free Bets Bonus.
One I like is KINROSS at 40/1, he was beaten at Haydock by Pogo and did me out of a couple of quid! If you go back to being beaten by Creative Force he got absolutely no run, he travelled really strongly throughout the race. He’s very unexposed at six furlongs. I’m not sure the ground is too much of a negative and he needed the run last time.
Naval Crown caught the eye last time behind A Case Of You over in Meydan last time. He just didn’t really have the pace to quicken with him. But I just thought he was too close to the pace. This is a horse who ran well behind Creative Force in the Jersey last year and was staying on quite strongly towards the finish last time.
Never mind Chris Waller, how about Chris Wall here, who saddles DOUBLE OR BUBBLE. She’s had 8 runs of 6-7 furlongs and won 5 on Good or quicker ground and won 5 of those, finishing 2nd in the three others. When she’s had a big field it’s 4 wins and a second. She’s gonna love the tempo of this but might not be able to beat the favourite Home Affairs. But I thought Double Or Bubble had a great chance of hitting the frame.
CREATIVE FORCE, I can’t leave him alone at that price (9/1 general) I love him. I know people will ask questions of him regarding the ground but if you remember the start of his career, people were asking if he would cope with the juice in the ground. Now he is being considered a Soft ground horse. I have no concerns however, his Ascot form is solid and in a fast run race, I think he can go well at a good price.
Given there are 27 runners, it feels obscene to back the short-priced favourite. However, having been too late to the party with one Australian sprinter, I won’t be this time, as HOME AFFAIRS could easily show up the Brits as well. Nature Strip tore his rivals apart in the King’s Stand, but his younger stablemate beat him over 5f at Flemington in February. He has also won a 6f Group 1 on good ground too, so while he may not possess quite the star quality of Nature Strip, he will more than likely be too good. As a horse who stays 7f to a high level, Happy Power might be one of the outsiders to benefit from this massive field and he was a close fourth in the race last year.
Home Affairs is the obvious starting point here, the Australian sprinter could very well blow his rivals away and has been backed in recent days as if defeat is out of the question. Chris Waller sent out the impressive Nature Strip to win the King’s Stand earlier this week and many will expect a similar result in Saturday’s feature contest. However, there is no value in Home Affairs’ price anymore and it could pay to take him on with one at a much bigger price.
The likes of Highfield Princess, Minzaal and Creative Force could all play a part in the final proceedings, however, it’s SACRED that gets the nod to come out on top in this tricky Group 1 event. Despite only seeing the track on three occasions last season, the classy daughter of Exceed and Excel impressively won two of those starts, quickening away stylishly in the Group 3 Nell Gwyn before again displaying a potent burst of pace to defeat Laneqash in the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes at Newbury on her final outing. Clearly kept fresh with this race very much in mind, Sacred should have little trouble reverting back to sprinting given how much speed she possesses and she is very comfortable on a quick surface.
Home Affairs had stablemate Nature Strip behind earlier this year and that form suggests he’s going to be very difficult to beat here. There are quite a few unknowns though from how the colt (bear in mind Nature Strip is a 7yo gelding) has travelled over and how he’ll handle Ascot. One horse whom you know for certain ticks both of those boxes is CAMPANELLE, who looks the value play to me at an each-way price. She’s a dual Royal Ascot winner, so expect her campaign to have revolved around a return to this meeting, and her recent Keeneland comeback victory (when wide on the bend) suggests that she may well be better than ever as a 4yo.
This is another race which can go the way of the International raiders, and if HOME AFFAIRS performs to a similar level of Nature Strip then he will take the world of catching. Chris Waller had both horses entered in this but has opted to side with Home Affairs, who beat Nature Strip last time they faced each other (albeit over five furlongs). He’s a two-time Group 1 winner already, and the poor performance last time out is nothing major to worry about. He was on the wrong side of the draw that day, and whenever he has a bad run he follows it with a much better performance next time out – usually resulting in victory!
The biggest challenger is likely to be Campanelle, who has performed well at Ascot previously, unlike some of Wesley Ward’s stars who have disappointed this week. But the Australian sprinters seem to be in a different league to everything else currently and they can grab another Group 1 victory here.
Things haven’t gone Wesley Ward’s way this week, with Golden Pal a huge disappointment on the opening day. However, he can make amends here with CAMPANELLE who won at this meeting last year. It was different conditions that day when he was pipped by Dragon Symbol only to be given the race in the Steward’s Room. He’s won on firm ground at the start of his career so this shouLDn’t be a problem and he’s certainly got the class for this. He’s a huge price at 9/1 with a large portion of the market taken up by the 2/1 fav.
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