OuR top tipster Andrew Mount previews the Savills Chase at Leopardstown which runs on Monday (28th December), taking a deeper look into the key stats and trends for high class contest, along with a breakdown of each runners chances in the big race on the bank holiday card. Check out his thoughts on what is expected to be an exciting contest below and get a Free £10 Bet At Novibet
Saviills Chase Key Stats And Trends
Those lining up after a very recent outing (1-21 days) provided just one winner. The other nine winners last raced between 23 and 57 days ago.
As you’d expect, Gordon Elliott and Willie Mullins have dominated in recent years, taking four of the past five renewals between them. Noel Meade broke the sequence with Road To Respect in 2017 and he also won this in 2010. Mullins is just two from 20 (-£8.33) whereas Elliott is two from seven (+£11.50). British trainers won three in a row from 2011 to 2013 but are not represented this year.
Nine of the ten winners were aged six, seven or eight. The exception was 11-year-old Tidal Bay in 2012, the only winner aged nine or older from 32 runners.
Only three winners of the last ten winners had scored last-time out. Three winners, from a much smaller sample size, had found one too good in their prep race.
DELTA WORK won this last year before following up in the Irish Gold Cup over the same course and distance. He could never strike a blow in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, finishing fifth, and ran a very similar race behind The Storyteller at Down Royal on his reappearance. His chase record at Leopardstown now reads 111 (3-3).
MONALEE, who missed the King George because of COVID travel restrictions, was second by a head in this race last year. However, this prominent racer has found it hard to get his head in front since his novice chase days, scoring just once from his last 11 outings. That win came when even-money favourite for a four-runner Grade 2 contest over 2m4f in which he was chased home by a stamina-laden Grand National hope in Anibale Fly.
PRESENTING PERCY recorded his first success for Gordon Elliott when landing a four-runner Listed contest over 2m6f at Thurles last time though it’s doubtful that Kemboy and Monalee, runner-up and third that day, were fully tuned up.
KEMBOY was an easy winner of the 2018 renewal on the back of a comeback success at Clonmel and lacked a recent outing when only fourth last year. He’s had a prep this time and has to enter calculations.
A PLUS TARD, who was beaten at odds of 1-2 over 2m last time, needs to prove his stamina for this trip but has won second-time out in both seasons since leaving France. HIs record on left-handed tracks for Henry De Bromhead, aside from seasonal debuts, stands at 1113 (3-4) with the sole defeat in last season’s Ryanair Chase.
MINELLA INDO is two from two since getting mugged by Champ in the RSA. He needed the experience on his bumper, hurdle and chase debuts but, those three runs aside, his record reads 2111211 (5-7).
MELON has only scored once in the past three years and needs to prove his stamina.
FAKIR’ D'OUDAIRIES, runner-up to Put The Kettle On in the Arkle, didn’t jump with any great fluency when second to Notebook on his comeback. The step up from 2m is the obvious concern.
EASY GAME was beaten when falling in the RSA, his sole run over this 3m trip.
ALLAHO, a two-length third to Champ when favourite for the RSA, was comprehensively beaten on his return to action but is two from two second time out for Willie Mullins.
JETT, beaten by about 12 lengths when a 40-1 sixth last year, also ran well over course and distance in the Irish Gold Cup last term, finishing a 40-1 fourth. He could scrape a place if one or two of the market leaders underperform.
BALKO DES FLOS is zero from ten since landing the 2018 Ryanair Chase and is very difficult to fancy.
Big Race Verdict
Five of the first six home from last year’s renewal again do battle with DELTA WORK, who has three Grade 1 wins to his name from three runs over fences at this venue, taken to do best of them again. Kemboy could be closer this year now that he’s had a prep run but Minella Indo is likely to give the selection most to do. A Plus Tard looks worth a shot at this trip and he could surprise if the first-time tongue-tie has a positive effect. Of the big outsiders, Jett often out-runs his odds and could sneak a place.
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