Our regular Stats column returns today and we have unearthed some intriguing horses who could well be making their way into the winner's enclosure today…
Trainer Ralph Beckett is having another good season and is operating at a 16 per cent strike-rate with his runners in the last two years. However, that success rate leaps to 21 per cent with his runners in first-time headgear and he saddles Tigerskin in blinkers this afternoon. He is available at around 8/1.
This Simon Crisford-trained runner will be a short price but the hope is we can get bigger than evens for this three-year-old. Crisford has sent out six winners from 19 runners in first-time cheekpieces and this horse already has decent form in the book.
Trainer Paul Midgley has run four horses in this race in the last four years and two have won. Midgley also has a great strike-rate of 16 per cent at this time of year, which makes the well-fancied Tarboosh a solid choice at around 11/4.
Sir Michael Stoute and Danny Tudhope have a 37 per cent strike-rate when teaming up in the last five seasons and the duo combine at Carlisle with Fiery Mission, who also wears a first-time toungestrap for his foray up north.
Today's best bets
TIGERSKIN (3.45 Ffos Las)
CAPE CAVALLI (4.15 Ffos Las)
TARBOOSH (3.30 Nottingham)
FIERY MISSION (6.15 Carlisle)
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