Oliver SherwoodThis column has been among the winners recently and is back again in the hunt for some more success. We’ve trawled the cards to find those runners in Britain and Ireland who could well outrun their odds.

PENNY POT LANE (7.35 Newcastle)

Trainer Richard Whitaker has a nine per cent strike rate with his runners in the last two years but that rises to 67 per cent with his runners competing in first-time blinkers. Admittedly, that is from a small sample size with two winners from three runners, but that shows Whitaker is selective with the headgear and seems to know the type of horse who will benefit from its application.

BACK PENNY POT LANE HERE


AFFAIR (7.25 Chelmsford)

Maybe it’s the cold air that inspires this horse as his last two wins came in this week in 2017 and 2018. That win came at this track last year off a 4lb higher mark, which suggests he is well handicapped if he is rejuvenated by a stiff Essex breeze.

BACK AFFAIR HERE


CASTLEGRACE ROSE (4.10 Fontwell)

Trainer Oliver Sherwood has had four runners in this particular race in the last ten years and three of them have won. You would have made a profit of £20.75 if you had put £1 on those four runners and that stat could be improved if he has again targeted this race with one of his better horses.

BACK CASTLEGRACE ROSE HERE


TODAY’S BEST BETS

PENNY POT LANE (7.35 Newcastle)

AFFAIR (7.25 Chelmsford)

CASTLEGRACE ROSE (4.10 Fontwell)


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