This column found the winner of the last race at Plumpton on Sunday and it’s back again to identify the best stats-based bets at Chepstow, Ayr and Wolverhampton on Monday.
CASTLE RUSHEN (3.45 Ayr)
This horse has a Gordon Elliott-trained raider to overcome at Ayr but this stat lends hope that he could come out on top. Castle Rushen’s trainer Nicky Richards has a 33 per cent strike-rate with his bumper debutants at this course.
ADJOURNED (1.50 Chepstow)
Trainer Kim Bailey’s overall strike-rate of 15 per cent almost doubles when we focus on his horses competing for the first time after a wind operation. Adjourned has recently undergone a surgical procedure to improve his breathing and a decent run can be expected on his return.
SPARKLING OR STILL (6.45 Wolverhampton)
Trainer David Lanigan has a 50 per cent strike-rate in the last five seasons with his runners in three-year-old handicaps and you would have made a profit of £9.50 if you’d put £1 on all of his qualifying runners. That suggests Sparkling Or Still should run well.
MONDAY’S BEST BETS
CASTLE RUSHEN (3.45 Ayr) 7/4 BETWAY
ADJOURNED (1.50 Chepstow) 7/2 WILLIAM HILL
SPARKLING OR STILL (6.45 Wolverhampton) 6/1 LADBROKES