Kim BaileyThis column found the winner of the last race at Plumpton on Sunday and it’s back again to identify the best stats-based bets at Chepstow, Ayr and Wolverhampton on Monday.

CASTLE RUSHEN (3.45 Ayr)

This horse has a Gordon Elliott-trained raider to overcome at Ayr but this stat lends hope that he could come out on top. Castle Rushen’s trainer Nicky Richards has a 33 per cent strike-rate with his bumper debutants at this course.

BACK CASTLE RUSHEN AT 7/4 HERE


ADJOURNED (1.50 Chepstow)

Trainer Kim Bailey’s overall strike-rate of 15 per cent almost doubles when we focus on his horses competing for the first time after a wind operation. Adjourned has recently undergone a surgical procedure to improve his breathing and a decent run can be expected on his return.

BACK ADJOURNED AT 7/2 HERE


SPARKLING OR STILL (6.45 Wolverhampton)

Trainer David Lanigan has a 50 per cent strike-rate in the last five seasons with his runners in three-year-old handicaps and you would have made a profit of £9.50 if you’d put £1 on all of his qualifying runners. That suggests Sparkling Or Still should run well.

BACK SPARKLING OR STILL AT 6/1 HERE


MONDAY’S BEST BETS

CASTLE RUSHEN (3.45 Ayr) 7/4 BETWAY

ADJOURNED (1.50 Chepstow) 7/2 WILLIAM HILL

SPARKLING OR STILL (6.45 Wolverhampton) 6/1 LADBROKES

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