Jamie CoddThis column advised backing 40/1 Chelmsford winner Last Date on Thursday and 5/1 Tipperary scorer Yulong Gold Fairy on Sunday and it’s back again as we go on the hunt for big-priced winners and horses who have slipped under the radar. Here are those runners who could outrun their odds in Britain and Ireland today

CALEVADE (7.30 Newcastle)

This horse is a huge price but he could outrun his price as his trainer Ben Haslam’s strike-rate leaps from an overall 14 per cent to 21 per cent when focusing only on those runners competing in first-time cheekpieces in the last two years. Calevade wears that headgear today.

BACK CALEVADE HERE


WENCESLAUS (2.50 Stratford)

It has paid to follow trainer David Bridgwater’s handicap chase debutants in the last five years. Bridgwater has a 20 per cent strike-rate with those runners, while you would have made a profit of £46 if you’d placed £1 on each of those runners. That makes Wenceslaus a decent bet today.

BACK WENCESLAUS HERE


ARCADIAN SUNRISE 5.05 Tipperary)

Tom amateur rider Jamie Codd has a 40 per cent strike-rate when riding for trainer John Queally in the last five years and you would have made a profit if you’d backed every one of their runners in that time. The pair team up with Arcadian Sunrise in the final race at Tipperary.

BACK ARCADIAN SUNRISE HERE


TODAY’S BEST BETS

CALEVADE (7.30 Newcastle)

WENCESLAUS (2.50 Stratford)

ARCADIAN SUNRISE (5.05 Tipperary)

begambleaware.org