This column found 15/8 winner Castle Rushen at Ayr on Monday and it returns to again identify the best stats-based bets at Taunton, Lingfield and Southwell on Tuesday.
POLA CHANCE (4.00 Taunton)
Trainer Nigel Hawke has an overall strike-rate of just nine per cent but that rises to 22 per cent when we focus only on his runners competing for the first time after a wind operation. Pola Chance runs for the first time since undergoing a procedure to improve his breathing and better can be expected here
SKY FULL OF STARS (3.45 Lingfield)
This horse tends to come good at this time of year, winning in this week in 2018 and 2019. That suggests that despite the horse having been out of form in his last few start, he could well bounce back to form in the cold January air.
FLASHING GLANCE (3.00 Taunton)
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 50 per cent strike-rate with his runners in handicap hurdles at this track and he also has a 40 per cent success rate with his horses competing in a tonguestrap for the first time. Flashing Glance wears that equipment in a handicap hurdle at the Somerset track on Tuesday
TUESDAY’S BEST BETS
POLA CHANCE (4.00 Taunton) 7/1 BET365
SKY FULL OF STARS (3.45 Lingfield) 14/1 BETFRED
FLASHING GLANCE (3.00 Taunton) 8/1 WILLIAM HILL