This column was among the winners again yesterday with 7/2 Galway scorer The Red Menace and it’s back again as we go on the hunt for big-priced winners and horses who have slipped under the radar. Here are those who could outrun their odds in Britain and Ireland today
Kim Bailey already has a superb 27 per cent strike-rate with his runners in bumpers but that improves to 44 per cent when focusing only on his debutants in bumpers at Ludlow. That suggests Bailey targets some decent newcomers to run at the Shropshire track and makes Cinderbella of interest here
William Haggas has been operating at a strike-rate of 23 per cent over the last two years, which is an enviable achievement. However, his runners competing in a tonguestrap for the first time in the last coup[le of years have been winning at a rate of 42 per cent (ten winners from 24 runners). Bryn Du wears a tongue-tie at Newcastle and promising apprentice Cieren Fallon has been booked for the ride
We love trainer/jockey combinations that are relatively rare but show a decent return on investment, which is why we’re selecting Salt Whistle Bay to go well. Trainer Rae Guest and jockey Richard Kingscote have a 25 per cent strike-rate when teaming up and you would have made £15.25 if you’d put £1 on every one of their runners in the last five years. Interestingly, this is the first time Kingscote has got the leg up on this horse.
TODAY’S BEST BETS
CINDERBELLA (3.20 Ludlow)
BRYN DU (6.55 Newcastle)
SALT WHISTLE BAY (3.30 Nottingham)