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Two to Follow & Three to Avoid at Newmarket’s July Festival

She's So Nice ridden by Ben Curtis wins the British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race) during day one of The Moet and Chandon July Festival at Newmarket Racecourse.

Newmarket’s July Festival begins on Thursday as the track plays host to three unmissable days of action. Our Racing Editor has taken a close look at the meeting providing some angles into the racing. Check out their thoughts below, alongside an exclusive Betfair offer, which provides new customers with £30 in Free Bets when they stake £10.


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Two to Follow at Newmarket’s July Festival

Juveniles from the Hannon Stable

One fruitful angle into Newmarket’s July Festival has been to back the juvenile runners from the Hannon stable. In the last ten years (Richard Hannon Jr took over the license in 2014, Richard Hannon Sr held the license in 2012 and 2013) the Hannon stable has sent out 15 winners from 74 runners at a strike rate of just over 20%.

Backing Hannon juveniles blind would have brought about a profit of +34.76 to level stakes.

Persian Force, therefore, should be a big player in the July Stakes on the opening day of the July Festival, whilst on day two, Powerdress looks a likely player in the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes.




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Charlie Appleby’s Handicappers

Charlie Appleby is rocketing towards a career-best seasonal winners tally and one angle that has proven useful to follow with the stable’s runners at the July Festival has been backing their handicap runners.

Six of Charlie Appleby’s last thirteen handicap runners at this meeting have won, bringing about a level stakes profit of +18.33.

In fact, the form figures of Charlie Appleby’s last thirteen handicap runners are an impressive 1111022562121, so it’s safe to assume that he tends to target the handicaps at this Festival. That makes both Noble Dynasty and Echo Point – entrants for Appleby in Thursday’s concluding mile handicap – both particularly interesting runners.





Three to Avoid at Newmarket’s July Festival

3yos in the Bunbury Cup

The Bunbury Cup is the feature handicap on the final day of the July Festival, and one angle into this race has been to avoid 3yo runners.

No 3yo has won the Bunbury Cup since Ho Leng back in 1998, and since then, twenty-one have tried.

Only two of that twenty-one were priced up at odds greater than 20/1. With runners beaten at odds of 4/1J, 5/1 and 9/2 during that time, it hasn’t been only outsiders getting beaten.

That makes the likes of Samburu, as short as 13/2 for the Bunbury Cup, one runner to avoid this week.



Newmarket racecourse logo

Newmarket Racecourses, The Links, Newmarket, Suffolk CB8 0TG. United Kingdom.

Newmarket Racecourse

Known as the headquarters of British racing, Newmarket’s Rowley Mile course features a clutch of top quality events such as the 1000 and 2000 Guineas in early May and Champions Day in October. One of the fairest tracks in the world, racing at the Rowley Mile is divided into two seasons, spring and autumn, and only on rare occasions does the ground ride on the soft side. Racing switches from the Rowley Mile to the popular July Course during the summer months. The highlight of the season is the Darley July Cup, Europe’s leading six furlongs sprint, which takes place on the final day of the three-day July Meeting. The six evening meetings are amongst the most popular fixtures staged anywhere in the country.


Khanjar in the 3:00 Thursday

The Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap is contested at 3:00 on Thursday, and this race has been a graveyard for favourites in recent years.

None of the last eleven market leaders (joint-favourites in 2014) have obliged, with their form figures during that period an underwhelming 62304600039.

William Haggas’s Khanjar looks set to go off favourite for this year’s renewal, and therefore can be opposed. Runners from that stable in this contest are also 0-6 in the last decade, producing form figures of 289063.



Horses aged 5yo and older in the July Cup

The July Festival concludes on Saturday with a seven-race card that centres around the Group 1 July Cup, one of the feature sprints in the calendar.

Horses aged 5yo and older should be avoided, however, with only 7/4F Slade Power (5yo) obliging in the last decade.

During that period, fifty-five horses aged 5yo and older ran in the July Cup, and backing them blindly would have brought about a huge level stakes loss of -51.25.

It is not as though these horses have been rank outsiders either, with two favourites, two second-favourites and a third-favourite beaten during this time.

This stat makes the 6yo Romantic Proposal one to avoid on Saturday, particularly as no horse from that age group has won the July Cup since Les Arcs (2006).



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