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Weekend Statistics To Follow – A Guide To Your Bets

The weekend ahead is packed with top quality racing. To help you get ahead with your bets, we’ve looked into three key races and some statistics to guide you, alongside 888‘s new customer offer of £30 in Free Bets + a £10 Casino Bonus when you deposit £10.

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Irish Oaks – O’Brien Not The Be All And End All

It’s all relative of course. Only Sir Michael Stoute has won as many Irish Oaks’ as Aidan O’Brien, but given the master of Ballydoyle has won 14 Derbies in his homeland, he has (just!) six of these.

Only three of those have come since 2009, so whereas his dominance is an enormous factor in a multitude of other races, this is much less one of them. Emily Upjohn, for John Gosden and Magical Lagoon, for Jessica Harrington, should both be readily considered as the other leaders of the market to O’Brien’s Tuesday.

In particular, Gosden has just as capable a record, winning his last two more recently than O’Brien has and he also has three raiding winners since 2012. At the other end of the spectrum, Harrington is still looking for her first despite her immensely successful dual-purpose career.



Super Sprint – No Single Pringles, But Double-Figure Richards

A maximum field of 25 can feature in the Super Sprint at Newbury. It is regularly one of the most popular races of the juvenile season with nearly £100,000 available to the winner.

With the contest such a busy affair, there is plenty of room for analysis. Here, the main focus is on the draw, with Newbury’s straight track having favoured one side so much more significantly than the other in recent renewals.

Put simply, in the last decade, every single winner has had a double-figure draw. Peniaphobia, in stall ten, was the lowest drawn in 2013, while Bettys Hope had stall 25 in 2019. You need to get lucky at least two days before the off in this race, with plenty of luck in running down the near side also of great benefit.

There are two trainers who should be of greater interest as well. Between them, Richards Hannon and Fahey have claimed seven of the previous nine runnings. Keeping an eye on their competitors is vital, but only two of them have been favourites. Second and third chances for the yards should also be considered.



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A Trend That May End – Weight Not A Burden In Summer Plate

Only two horses in the last decade have won Market Rasen’s Summer Plate, one of British racing’s summer jumps highlights as a Grade 3 handicap, off a weight of 11st 2lb or higher. Those under a fair burden have often struggled to do themselves justice on faster ground.

This year’s race is set to be a little different, however. 21 remain in contention for the race, but even taking into account Irish raiders Peregrine Run and Rapid Response, the top-weight will not have a mark higher than 140.

That is at least 8lb lower than any renewal since 2015 and easily the lowest of the last ten years. That could make it a less classy renewal, but there are likely to be at least eight horses carrying greater than 11st 2lb. The likes of Light N Strike and Mortlach fit that mould and also arrive in excellent form.



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