Top tipster Andrew Mount has four bets at Kempton and Southwell on Friday afternoon
GUPTA (2.00 Southwell)
The bias to the centre/far side on the straight 5f course wasn’t as strong as usual when GUPTA finished a 25-1 fourth on his return from surgery last time but it was still a good effort from stall 9 of 10. He was also poorly drawn when a 40-1 eight of 12 over course and distance on his penultimate start and he can be backed to break his duck in the Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap (2.00).
AR MEST (2.25 Kempton)
Kempton’s chase course favours front-runners and it’s possible that AR MEST will be in receipt of an easy lead when he contests the 2m2f Racing TV Chase on Friday (2.25). Gary Moore’s seven-year-old has often peaks at this time of year, with his five best RPRs (Racing Post Ratings) coming from late December until mid-February. He unseated at Fakenham on October’s chase debut but showed plenty more last time, going down by just a length in third at Wincanton under a 7lb conditional jockey. Jamie Moore takes over in the saddle today and Ar Mest has a good record in Class 3 or 4 company over obstacles once he’s had a couple of runs, recording form figures of 1F113 (3-5)
NOBLE ACCOUNT (3.05 Southwell)
NOBLE ACCOUNT is a seven-race maiden who has been off the track since early September but his breeding suggests that he could improve now that he tries an all-weather surface for the first time in the 1m Bombardier “March To Your Ow Drum” Maiden Handicap at Southwell (3.05). Progeny of Dansili, aged between three and five, have won 28 of their 102 starts here (27.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £69.74 to a £1 level stake at SP.
WICKED WILLY (3.30 Kempton)
WICKED WILLY lacks the front-running style that I prefer when backing chasers at Kempton but he has a great record at this time of year and I can’t resist an interest in the Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Chase (3.30). He tends to peak in the early months of the new year, with a handicap record from January to March of 112314F3351 (4-11) for a profit of £21.10 to a £1 level stake at SP.
Today’s Best Bets
Gupta – 1pt win – 2.00 Southwell (5-1)
Ar Mest -2pts win – 2.25 Kempton (9-2)
Noble Account – 1pt win – 3.05 Southwell (6-1)
Wicked Willy – 1pt each-way – 3.30 Kempton (15-2)