Kim BaileyOur top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain and today.

FIRST FLOW (1.00 Ascot)

Kim Bailey’s FIRST FLOW tends to jump and hang to his right and wouldn’t have been suited by the left-handed track when runner-up to Summerville Boy on his chase debut at Uttoxeter last time. He sat too close to the very strong pace when a respectable fifth in the EBF Final at Sandown on his only outing last season and he can make up for lost time by landing the 2m3f Sky Sports Racing Novices’ Chase at Ascot on Friday (1.00).

Get 11/4 @ Unibet

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SHESHOON SONNY (1.30 Ascot)

SHESHOON SONNY was only third when the 5-4 favourite for a Stratford novice contest last time but was held up off the pace in a race that favoured prominent types (the winner and runner-up were described as ‘always prominent’ and ‘led’). The patiently-ridden eighth gave the form a boost when scoring at Uttoxeter last Saturday and he’s worth a bet in the Zeelo “National Hunt” Maiden Hurdle

Get 17/2 @ WIlliam Hill

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ARQALINA (2.50 Ffos Las)

ARQALINA paid for pressing the suicidal early pace when the 6-5 favourite for an amateur riders’ handicap hurdle at Lingfield in January and bounced back to score over three miles at Ffos Las on her next start. It looks significant that Venetia Williams sends her to the same venue for her chase debut, as he five previous runners to have their first start over fences at the Welsh venue recorded figures of 31213 (2-5) for a profit of £10.00 to a £1 level stake.

Get 11/4 @ bet365

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BIG LES & GOWANBUSTER (4.30 Newcastle)

Newcastle’s Tapeta was worked deep prior to yesterday’s meeting and, consequently, the early pace held up on the straight course with the winners described as ‘made all’, ‘made all’ and ‘prominent’. That makes BIG LES, often a front-runner, of interest in the 5f Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap (4.30). He had no chance from stall 10 of 10 at Nottingham last time when all the action was down the centre and he drops to Class 5 level for the first time in his career.

Get 10/1 @ BetVictor

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GOWANBUSTER hasn’t been seen since May but has form figures in Newcastle sprints of 1382343112 (3-10) and has clocked some fast time. He was second at 22-1 on his return from a break last winter and is also worth supporting.

Get 9/1 @ Paddy Power

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ANDREW MOUNT'S BEST BETS

First Flow – 1.00 Ascot (1pt win, 11-4) Unibet

Sheshoon Sonny – 1.30 Ascot (1pt win, 17-2 generally) William Hill

Arqalina – 2.50 Ffos Las (2pts win, 11-4) bet365

Gowanbuster – 4.30 Newcastle (1pt win, 9-1 generally) BetVictor

Big Les – 4.30 Newcastle (1pt win,10-1 generally) Paddy Power


Arqalina is part of your Lucky 15 for Friday.

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