Our top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain today
CAUTHEN (5.50 Wolverhampton)
Offpsring of Dandy Man have a good record on Tapeta and backing them blind at Wolverhampton or Newcastle would have found 48 winners from 429 bets (11.2% strike-rate) for a profit of £203.12 to a £1 level stake at SP. There are two qualifiers in the opening 7f Visit Thewinnersenclosure.com For Racing Tips Apprentice Handicap (5.50) in which I prefer CAUTHEN to Deconso. The Ken Cunningham-Brown- trained three-year-old has spent much of his career on Polytrack, failing to justify strong support when only fifth in a mile handicap last time. However, he was poorly drawn in stall nine of 11 and simply didn’t last home. Since gelded, his two runs in 7f handicaps (both also at Kempton) have produced a 66-1 fifth of 12 from the worst of the draw and a runner-up effort. There could be plenty of improvement to come for this switch of surface.
Marco Botti’s juvenile ran a fine race on her debut at Kempton in June, finishing second at 16-1 from a tricky wide draw behind subsequent Listed winner Shadn. She failed to settle when only fifth at Newbury next time but the return to the all-weather and a turning track can see her get off the mark in the 6f Celebrating 22 Years Without David Chillery EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (7.50). She’s certainly bred to appreciate this surface – Raven’s Pass fillies are nine from 42 at this venue (21.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £47.00 to a £1 stake – whereas several of her rivals are not sure to appreciate Tapeta.
TODAY’S BEST BETS
Cauthen – 5.50 Wolverhampton (1pt win, 4-1 generally)
Fair Pass – 7.50 Wolverhampton (1pt win, 15-2 Bet365, 7-1 generally)