Our top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain and Ireland today.
They went hard up front in the 5f Wolverhampton handicap won by Helvetian on October 23rd and the race was set up for the closers. The winner, runner-up, fourth, fifth and sixth all came from well off the pace, suggesting that the performance of third-placed CANFORD BAY (‘disputed lead until led on own 2f out’) is worthy of a serious upgrade. Antony Brittain’s five-year-old has yet to race on Fibresand but the surface should hold no fears on breeding and he could be well drawn in stall two when he tackles Monday’s Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap (5.15). He clocked a very fast time in the process and Joegogo, ninth after chasing the strong early pace in that Wolverhampton race, ran a solid third against the pace bias at Chelmsford next time to give the form a boost.
ENCHANTED LINDA (stall four) ran in the same race as Canford Bay at Wolverhampton last time, doing second best of the prominent racers in a three-length seventh. Her sire, Charm Spirit, has yet to have a winner at Southwell but has only had seven runners and Sambucca Spirit was placed twice over course and distance last month. She looks over-priced at around the 20-1 mark on her Fibresand debut.
Those drawn low to middle are also likely to enjoy the best of things in the 5f Betyourway At Betway Handicap (7.15) and BITHIAH (stall six of 14) is taken to get off the mark. She had a subsequent winner behind her when third over this trip at Newcastle in September and had also caught the eye at the same venue the time before, finishing fifth behind rivals now rated 69, 67. 68 and 51. She hasn’t shown much since handicapping but blew the start and was drawn away from the action when 7-1 over 6f at Newcastle on her handicap debut and then failed to see out the same trip under a prominent ride. She’s bred to appreciate the switch to Fibresand (her sire’s juveniles are seven from 26 here for a profit of £14.25) and Gabriele Malune is a positive booking. She drops to Class 7 level and runs off a mark of just 47.
TADAANY (stall nine) is drawn slightly higher than ideal but has acquitted himself well in both runs over course and distance and will appreciate this drop in grade. Trainer Ruth Carr is three from 18 in Class 7 all-weather handicaps for a profit of £15.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. He makes some each-way appeal with four places on offer.
TODAY’S BEST BETS
Canford Bay – 5.15 Southwell (1pt win, 15-2 generally)
Enchanted Linda – 5.15 Southwell (1pt win, 22-1 Betfair, BetVictor, Paddy Power, 20-1 generally)
Bithia – 7.15 Southwell (0.5pt each-way, 16-1 BetVictor, four places)
Tadaany – 7.15 Southwell (0.5pt each-way, 8-1 Sky Bet and BetVictor, both four places)