Top tipster Andrew Mount found has found four intriguing bets at Leicester and Hamilton on Monday. Check out his selections below, which are all backable via this bet365 offer, which provides new customers with up to £100 in bet credits.
AL BAAHY – (1.30 Leicester, 1pt each-way, 14/1)
AL BAAHY ran with credit in a hot maiden won by Noble Truth at Newmarket on his debut, displaying obvious signs of inexperience on his way to a 25-1 eighth of 13. The winner has since landed a Listed race and the runner-up, third, fifth and seventh all won shortly afterwards.
Al Baahy was sent off at 9-2 at Leicester next time but Jim Crowley elected to make the running on the stands’ rail from stall 5 of 10 – rarely the place to be. Those who raced widest of all down the middle of the track fought out the finish and, from stall 1 of 8 over the same trip and track today, I’m trusting Jim Crowley not to make the same mistake twice.
QUANAH – (2.17 Hamilton, 1pt win, 10/1)
QUANAH finished last of ten over 5f here on his most recent outing but the officially good ground was no use to him and he was poorly drawn in stall 1 of 10. High draws dominated, with the first five home coming from the five highest stalls (10, 7, 9, 6 and 8). Perhaps more importantly, his prominent style was at a huge disadvantage, with the first five finishers described by the Racing Post as ‘held up in rear’, ‘midfield’, ‘held up in rear’, ‘midfield’ and ‘slowly into stride, in rear’.
The form is working out well with Dapper Man, sixth overall and best of the prominent racers, going down by a head in second and, seventh-placed Wade’s Magic, second-best of those to race on the front end, finishing a close third in the same race as Dapper Man next time before wins at Ripon and Redcar. Shesadabber, eighth after making the running, improved her RPR (Racing Post Rating) by 14lb when up against the same bias over the same trip and track next time, going down by just over three lengths.
Rose Bandit, ninth home after racing up with the pace, found only one too good on her next start. Quanah was only just behind that one in tenth place but I’m expecting a much-improved showing today, especially from what looks the best of the draw this time in stall 10 of 10. He’s back up to 6f today but I think the ground is more important to him than the trip and his course record on soft or heavy going stands at 112 (2-3), with the defeat excusable as he was best of those drawn low and best of the prominent racers.
MULTELLIE – (3.22 Hamilton, 1pt win, 11/1)
MULTELLIE performs best in small fields on soft ground and at this time of year. He is also most effective in Class 4 or lower company. His record on officially soft or heavy ground from August to October, in Class 4 or lower company, stands at 31111127 (5-8), with the unplaced effort at 33-1 last time when his usual forcing tactics were abandoned.
This stiff track suits – he won this race in 2018 and in 2019 (didn’t run in it last year) - and David Allan takes over from a 5lb claimer.
FLOOD DEFENCE - (3.22 Hamilton, 1.5pt win, 10/1)
FLOOD DEFENCE has done well over hurdles since returning from wind surgery, running fourth in a fast time at Sedgefield in a race that is working out strongly before his 22-1 neck second at Perth.
His five career wins have all come in Flat turf contests (he now has a combined score of 0-23 on the all-weather and over jumps) and he was second at 12-1 in this race last year. At the time of writing, his stablemate Smart Lass headed the market at 5-2 (William Hill) but she’s yet to win in 16 starts away from Musselburgh.
Today’s Best Bets
AL BAAHY – 1pt each-way – 1.30 Leicester (14-1 bet365)
QUANAH – 1pt win – 2.17 Hamilton (10-1 bet365)
MULTELLIE – 1pt win – 3.22 Hamilton (11-1 Betfred, BetVictor)
FLOOD DEFENCE – 1.5pts win – 3.22 Hamilton (10-1 bet365)
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