Top tipster Andrew Mount has seven bets across four meetings on a typically busy Saturday
KASBAAN – 2.25 Ascot
KASBAAN ran well against the draw bias in the 7f International Stakes here last time, keeping on into an 80-1 sixth from stall 5. The five that beat him were drawn 19, 18, 20, 12 and 17 and the return to this mile trip will suit. He’s yet to win on turf but has had very few opportunities at this one mike trip and he rates a solid bet.
SLEEPING LION & CHARLIE D – 3.00 Ascot
Newcastle’s Tapeta surface was kinder than usual to front runners and prominent racers in the early weeks of resumption when it was officially described as ‘standard to slow’ but on ‘standard’ going at the last meeting it was business as usual, with hold-up horses dominating. The two-mile handicap won by Cosmelli saw the two front runners – Charlie D and Anyonecanhaveitall – drop away half a mile out, leaving Sleeping Lion in front far sooner than ideal. James Fanshawe’s five-year-old usually comes from well back but his jockey was probably surprised by how soon the pacesetters capitulated and he had no choice but to kick on when finding himself in front. He made a good fist of it but was headed about a furlong out and had to settle for second place behind the patiently-ridden winner. He’s finished placed in both previous visits to Ascot, finding 1m4f too sharp when third in 2018 and allowing the winner first run when second off a steady pace over two miles in July of last year. He was withdrawn because of soft ground here when I tipped him on July 25th and his trainer’s patience can be rewarded.
CHARLIE D has a wonderful attitude, often snatching victory from the jaws of defeat. He had little chance at Newcastle last time after getting into a duel for the lead (see Sleeping Lion above) and will be happier back on turf in this two-mile handicap. His record in handicaps on good or faster going reads 171111 (5-6), with the defeat excusable as it came just two days after his previous outing.
ADAPT TO DAN – 4.50 Cork
ADAPT TO DAN went into the tracker after his close-up third at Gowran Park last October where he did best of to race on the nearside. He was only seventh of 22 when the 4-1 favourite at the Curragh next time but was prominent on the far side in a race dominated by those who challenged late down the stands’ side rail. He came out second best of those drawn in single figures that day behind Count Of Carabass (fourth home from stall 3) who went on to win two of his next three starts at 12-1 and 10-1. He looks well drawn today, his yard is in good form and he’s worth chancing on his seasonal debut.
DATA PROTECTION & COGNAC – 5.10 Newmarket
DATE PROTECTION tends to find traffic trouble but has a great record in small fields. In handicaps of seven or fewer runners only, his record reads 611157321211 (6-12) for a profit of £21.75 to a £1 level stake at SP. He returned from wind surgery to score comfortably from his five rivals over course and distance last time and can repeat the dose off a 4lb higher mark.
COGNAC looks sure to appreciate the step up from a mile and Mark Johnston has a fine record with is Newmarket handicappers in the summer months (June to August), scoring with 64 of the 306 qualifiers since 2012 (20.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £91.14 to a £1 level stake at SP.
SHANTOU VILLAGE – 6.00 Uttoxeter
SHANTOU VILLAGE took his record in fields of 11 or fewer runners to 11211F11413 (7-11) when finding a couple too good over course and distance last time and can reward each-way support again (in bigger fields, he’s won just once from 14 starts). He’s been dropped 1lb for that latest run and Millie Wonnacott takes off a further 7lb.
Today’s Best Bets
Kasbaan – 1.5pts win – 2.25 Ascot (13-2 William Hill)
Sleeping Lion – 1.5pts win – 3.00 Ascot (13-2 generally)
Charlie D – 0.5pt each-way – 3.00 Ascot (20-1 generally)
Adapt To Dan – 1pt win - 4.50 Cork (7-2 generally)
Data Protection – 1pt win – 5.10 Newmarket (13-2 generally)
Cognac – 1pt win – 5.10 Newmarket (7-2 generally)
Shantou Village – 1pt each-way – 6.00 Uttoxeter (8-1 Sky Bet and Betfred, both still paying three places despite there being only seven runners)
Simply Join Tote here
Place a bet of up to £10 on any race
If that selection fails to win, receive a free bet refund of up to £10
)Max refund is £10. Qualifying bet is the first bet added to the betslip. Tote Win will be the qualifying bet when a Tote Win and a Tote Place bet are struck at the same time. E-wallet deposit restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply. 18+.*