Top tipster Andrew Mount has five bets across three races on Saturday. Check out his selections below, which are backable via Betway and their exclusive new customer offer which provides up to £10 in free bets.
MR WAGYU – (5.20 Newmarket, 1pt win, 4/1)
There’s plenty of pace in this 6f handicap, not least from Evasive Power (stall 8 of 8) and Yimou (stall 7), the two drawn on the far side rail. Our old friend MR WAGYU (stall 1) is still in his peak June/July period (12 from 24) and he did well to run third in the Scottish Stewards’ Cup last time, as he was prominent in a race run to suit the closers (the winner, runner-up and fourth came from off the pace). There’s a chance he’ll get involved in a battle for the early lead but I still want a small interest.
FORTAMOUR – (5.20 Newmarket, 1.5pt win, 8/1)
The other one I want to side with is hold-up horse FORTAMOUR. Ben Haslam is a rare visitor to this venue and his long travellers (150+ miles from base) in handicaps are usually worth siding with, especially when they’ve had a recent run. Since 2010, had we bet those who ran within the last fortnight we would have won nine of our 25 bets (36% strike-rate) and made a profit of £21.05 to a £1 level stake at SP.
Fortamour’s three previous wins all came on tracks with stiff uphill finishes and he’s only had one such run this year, when seventh at Pontefract on his penultimate start. He was badly drawn and met trouble that day and the form has received several boosts. His full record on stiff tracks reads 13412137 (3-8) and if he settles early he should run a good race.
RUN THIS WAY – (5.35 York, 0.5pt each-way, 50/1)
Paul Midgley has handled ten ‘switchers’ from the Mark Johnston yard in his career and though all lost on their stable debut, plenty went on to win for their new trainer shortly afterwards. Mu’Ajiza was fourth on her debut for the Midgley yard in May 2014 and won twice the following month (9/2 and 3/1) when cut back in trip.
Indian Sounds was a 20/1 runner-up on his stable debut last year and has won twice since, seeing his mark go up from 66 to a peak of 91. I Am A Dreamer was last of 12 at 80/1 on his stable debut last summer and then won at 22/1 next time. RUN THIS WAY cost new connections just 2,500 guineas after her sixth of seven at Yarmouth last time but she found the straight mile against her that day and is interesting back at 7f on a turning course. She went close off 75 at Nottingham on her comeback and might be able to outrun her odds off 72 today.
PAGAN – (5.35 York, 2pt win, 5/2)
PAGAN was unlucky to bump into Aylesford at Yarmouth and then won against the bias at Pontefract where he was value for much more than the half-length winning margin. He looks solid at the head of the market.
HAN SOLO BERGER – (5.55 Newmarket, 2pt win, 5/4)
HAN SOLO BERGER likes this venue and has a good record in small fields, suggesting solid claims today. When running over 5f in fields of 11 or less, his record reads 2221111233155363 (5-16) for a profit of £11.13 to a £1 level stake at SP. From June to October that improves to 22211112331 (5-11).
His small-field record over today’s course and distance reads 1123 (2-4), with the runner-up effort by a nose. His trainer is in excellent form and Han Solo Berger is 1lb below his last winning turf mark and 7lb lower than for his latest all-weather win. The market is surprisingly head by Buniann, despite his 0-11 turf score. He went close at Doncaster last time but looked flattered as the pace collapsed and the race was run to suit his patient tactics.
Today’s Best Bets
FORTAMOUR – 1.5pts win – 5.20 Newmarket (8-1 generally)
MR WAGYU – 1pt win – 5.20 Newmarket (4-1 generally)
RUN THIS WAY – 0.5pt each-way – 5.35 York (50-1 generally)
PAGAN – 2pts win – 5.35 York (5-2 bet365)
HAN SOLO BERGER – 2pts win – 5.55 Newmarket (5-4 generally)
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