Top tipster Andrew Mount has been in good form this month and has seven bets across six races on Saturday. Check out his selections below, along with an excellent new customer offer with Sky Bet, of £30 In Free Bets
FARASI LANE – (1.20 Goodwood, 1pt each-way - 10/1)
Quintillus looks a poor favourite. He hangs to his left in his races which didn’t matter on the straight course at Ascot last time where he was drawn near the stands’ rail but it won’t help him now he goes right-handed again.
He bombed out at Sandown when last racing in this direction and could end up in No Man’s Land down the centre of the track. Take him on with FARASI LANE (stall 2) who looks well drawn and has a good record right-handed. His record this way around reads 3121 (2-4) and though both defeats came over course and distance, he bumped into a very well handicapped winner in the first of them (Conservatoire, whose mark soon shot up from 71 to 86) and was only denied by a short head in the other.
Tom Ward is in good form and the only worry is the booking of Silvestre De Sousa who might be tempted to make the running (which has been incredibly difficult to pull off here this week). There’s loads of pace out wide from stalls 9, 10 and 11 and if he can sit on the rail and take a lead he could make it three from three in the cheekpieces.
OO DE LALLY – (1.20 Goodwood, 1pt each-way - 10/1)
I also want to side with OO DE LALLY. He disappointed at Chester last time, finishing last of eight, but had the worst of the draw and he was held up on a pace-favouring track.
He doesn’t seem to like Ascot but 7f record elsewhere reads 111218 (4-6), with the second place at 18-1 to Rhoscolyn here on soft ground. The winner bolted up next time and now 19lb higher.
INDIAN GURU – (1.45 Doncaster, 1pt each-way - 14/1)
My notes for INDIAN GURU simply say ‘Eyecatcher from off pace at Newbury (16 July 2021). Back on nursery debut.’ Today is her nursery debut and I expect her to take a big step forward. She was beaten by seven lengths when a 66-1 sixth of 12 in that Newbury fillies’ maiden but that was a huge effort given her early track position.
It was typical straight-course Newbury fayre, favouring those who were on the front end throughout, with the five who beat her described as ‘made all’, ‘tracked winner’, ‘in touch with leaders, prominent over 3f out’, ‘prominent early’ and ‘close up’. This race should be run to suit.
ROYAL SCIMITAR – (1.55 Goodwood, 1pt each-way - 10/1)
We were a little unlucky with ROYAL SCIMITAR (advised at 40-1) at Newmarket last time, as he was drawn on the wrong side of the track and did best of the low numbers in a 28-1 fourth. Whenthedealinsdone, second best of those drawn low, has franked the form since and Friday’s evidence suggests his low draw may not be a problem.
That was only his second run at this 6f trip – he won the other – and he remains open to plenty of improvement as a sprinter. My rather long shortlist also features Concierge (who ran well in the Stewards’ Cup last year when 100-1, doing third best of his group), Staxton, Treacherous (last year’s winner), Mr Wagyu (12 from 25 in July/August and one of only a couple of pace angles in the race) and Embour, who represents the same owner/trainer combination that won this in 2019 though the ground may have gone against him.
EJTILAAB – 3.40 Goodwood, 2pts win - 14/1)
EJTILAAB was a hugely frustrating customer last year – they kept trying to make the running on him over 7f or 1m at Ascot, which is rarely a good idea. He’d often run well, doing best of the prominent racers but would always get picked up by those ridden more patiently.
I wrote him up in the Racing Post Weekender after his Ascot seventh last September and I bet him every time he raced at other venues. He did win at Chelmsford a couple of months later (4-1f) but there were five defeats also and I was out of pocket. I’d given up on him by the time he dropped to 6f at Epsom in May this year, but he won well under more patient tactics and followed up over the same trip at Newcastle when again ridden with restraint. His record at sprint trips now reads 111 (3-3) and he holds an entry in the Group 1 Haydock Sprint Cup.
It’s fascinating to see him make his debut for Charlie Fellowes today and if there’s a future Group winner lurking in this handicap, it’s most likely him. A high draw near the stands’ side has been no disadvantage in the sprints so far this week (though the far side rail has yet to be explored) and I can see him going off at a single-figure price. His new trainer does well with horses he takes over from other yards, scoring with 10 of the 50 qualifiers since 2015 for a profit of £25.65 to a£1 level stake at SP.
MORPH SPEED – (4.20 Galway, 1pt each-way - 14/1)
MORPH SPEED caught the eye when third against the pace/draw bias at Cork in April and won his next two races – handicaps over trips of 1m5f and 1m4f. He found one mile very much on the sharp side when only sixth at Naas last week on his return from a 42-day absence and that run looks an obvious prep for today’s 1m4f contest.
Stall 18 makes life tricky but plenty of recent winners of this race swooped late/wide and a strong pace will see him finishing to good effect.
BATTLE ANGEL – (8.20 Hamilton, 2pts win - 5/2)
There are two horses near the head of the current betting that I want to oppose here – Ayr Empress, who was flattered by her 1m1f course win last month (she came from well off the pace, as did the majority of the winners on the round course that day) and has been beaten twice since at short odds, and Cedar Rapids.
The last-named ran a good second in first-time blinkers at Doncaster when we were on but was primed for that day and may not be able to build on it. His trainer has a fantastic record with first-time blinkered runners but they usually go backwards next time, winning just 19 of their 387 starts (4.9% strike-rate) and returning a loss of £237.00 to a £1 level stake at SP.
His last-time out winners in the first-time blinkers are 0-36 when bidding to follow up and those who ran second in the headgear won just two from 37 next time. The obvious alternative is BATTLE ANGEL, who won well over 1m5f here on her debut for Mark Walford. Well backed that day despite the yard struggling for winners at the time, the drop back to 1m3f is unlikely to trouble her.
Today’s Best Bets
Farasi Lane – 1pt each-way – 1.20 Goodwood (10-1 generally, three places, or 9-1 William Hill, four places)
Oo De Lally – 1pt each-way – 1.20 Goodwood (10-1 generally, William Hill paying four places)
Indian Guru – 1pt each-way – 1.45 Doncaster (14-1 bet365 was the only offer at the time of writing)
Royal Scimitar – 1pt each-way – 1.55 Goodwood (10-1 bet365)
Ejtilaab – 2pts win – 3.40 Goodwood (14-1 generally)
Morph Speed – 1pt each-way – 4.20 Galway (14-1 bet365)
Battle Angel – 2pts win – 8.20 Hamilton (5-2 William Hill was the only price at the time of writing)
How To Claim This £30 Free Bet Offer
Simply join Sky Bet today and place any a bet of any value (minimum stake 5p)
You then receive 3 x £10 Free Bets credited to your account
With such a simple offer and very little outlay, why not get your Glorious Goodwood off to the perfect start and claim this £30 free bet offer today!
NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY. 5P MINIMUM STAKE. 3 X £10 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS EXCLUDE VIRTUALS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. NO FREE BET EXPIRY. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND FURTHER T&CS APPLY. 18+. BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG