Our top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain today.
ROMAN SPINNER (12.30 Lingfield)
ROMAN SPINNER (stall five of 12) tends to ply her trade at Kempton, the scene of her three career wins, but is often a hostage to fortune at that venue if the required strong pace doesn’t materialise. The return to Lingfield could pay dividends and I’m backing her to land the 1m Bombardier Golden Beer Handicap on Saturday (12.30). The inside is riding deep at Lingfield at present, putting those drawn low at a disadvantage which is bad news for current 3-1 second favourite Sassoon who is in stall one. Since the start of this month, those drawn in stalls one, two or three, regardless of trip, have won just five times from 85 runners and recorded a loss of £41.50 to a £1 stake. We had a couple of stall one winners here on Thursday but one challenged widest of all and the other outclassed his opposition in a maiden. Roman Spinner clocked a fast time when an unlucky-in-running fifth at Kempton on her latest start and she was a close-up third, doing best of those to come from off the pace, on her only Polytrack course outing.
JOUEUR BRESILIEN (1.15 Newbury)
Seven-year-old JOUEUR BRESILIEN has started at 8-1 or shorter in 13 of his 14 starts for Rebecca Curtis (11-1 in the other) and early offers of 20-1 and bigger for Newbury’s 2m6.5f Sir Peter O’Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase (1.15) could be an over-reaction to his modest fourth at Aintree last time. Let down by his jumping that day, the sharp Mildmay course probably didn’t suit and he should appreciate today’s wide galloping two-mile left-handed oval - not dissimilar to Ffos Las, the scene of his last two wins. Eight of the last ten winners of this race were aged seven or younger and we’ve not had a winning favourite for ten years.
Seven-year-old DAKLONDIKE ran a fine race on his reappearance here two weeks ago, finishing a 40-1 second in handicap hurdle company. That took his record in November or December to 11411P11 (5-8), including a heavy-ground 3m2f chase success on his only other course visit. He clearly enjoys flat left-handed tracks, having also won at Haydock and Wetherby, and seemed to appreciate running without headgear on his comeback.
At the other end of the age spectrum is the 11-year-old REGAL ENCORE. He has ‘previous’ in this race, having finished third at 66-1 in 2017, and is 7lb lower in the weights this time around. He ran a pleasing race on his reappearance when a 20-1 second to Vinndication at Ascot.
Alan King’s DINGO DOLLAR also makes the shortlist. This race may have a come a year too soon for him when a 17-length third to Sizing Tennessee 12 months ago and his trainer’s Smad Place won this on his second attempt in 2015. He was a winner in first-time cheekpieces last year and it’s interesting to see him visored for the first time, as his yard’s record with this headgear in chases stands at six winners from 19 runners for a profit of £19.77 to a £1 level stake at SP.
TODAY’S BEST BETS
Roman Spinner – 12.30 Lingfield (1pt win, 5-2 generally)
Joueur Bresilien – 1.15 Newbury (1pt each-way, 25-1 Betfair, Paddy Power, both paying five places)
Daklondike – 3.00 Newbury (0.5pt each-way, 33-1 William Hill, five places)
Dingo Dollar – 3.00 Newbury (0.5pt each-way, 12-1 generally)
Regal Encore – 3.00 Newbury (0.5pt each-way. 50-1 generally, Betfair paying six places)