Our top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain and Ireland today.
WORTH WAITING (2.05 Kempton)
David Lanigan’s filly has won five of her ten career starts and if we only consider her runs below Group 1 level her record stands at 2211111 (5-7). The first loss came by three-quarters of a length when 33-1 for her racecourse debut and sole juvenile outing and the other defeat came in a field of 17 when 10-1 on her three-year-old debut. She finished last of eight in France last time but was still only beaten by five lengths in that Group 1 contest, never getting involved over in a slowly-run race. She drops back down to Group 3 level in Kempton’s Sun Racing September Stakes (2.05) and, though yet to race on the all-weather, her sire Bated Breath does well here, scoring with 25 of his 146 runners (17.1% strike-rate).
ONLY SPOOFING (2.55 Navan)
Jedd O’Keeffe’s five year-old is taken to repeat last year’s comfortable win in the 5f Troytown Bar Handicap (2.55) despite racing off a 9lb higher mark this time around. He’s improved in the past 12 months, completing a hat-trick in July and has had excuses for his two subsequent defeats, failing to cope with Chelmsford (he's 0-8 on the all-weather) before blowing the start and meeting trouble from the stall 1 ‘coffin box’ at Sandown.
FAMILY FORTUNES (3.15 Kempton)
There’s plenty of early pace in the Sun Racing ‘London Mile’ Handicap (3.15) and the race could be set up for a finisher. Step forward 25-1 outside FAMILY FORTUNES, who really caught the eye when a never-bearer six-length eighth over course and distance last time. He’s been dropped 3lb to 85, the same mark he won off here in February and this final of the London Mile series has a history of shocks.
BLAKENEY POINT (3.35 Haydock)
BLAKENEY POINT tends to come good at this time of year, recording form figures of 11611 (4-5) when racing in handicap company during September or October. He shaped well in mid-division at York last time and he’ll appreciate the soft conditions at Haydock where he contests the 1m6f Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup (3.35).
They didn’t go fast enough for CAPTAIN JAMESON in a field of eight runners at Haydock last time where he kept on into a modest third, doing best of those to come from off the pace. He tends to come good at this time of year (all wins from September to November) and he’s back down to his last winning mark in the Barkers Of Northallerton Handicap at Thirsk (3.40).
TODAY’S BEST BETS
Worth Waiting – 2.05 Kempton (1pt each-way, 28-1 Betfair, Paddy Power, 25-1 generally)
Only Spoofing – 2.55 Navan (1pt each-way, 4-1 Ladbrokes, Coral)
Family Fortunes – 3.15 Kempton (1pt each-way, 25-1 Coral, 22-1 generally)
Blakeney Point – 3.35 Haydock (1pt each-way, 10-1 Sky Bet, William Hill, both paying five places)
Captain Jameson – 3.40 Thirsk (0.5pts each-way, 14-1 generally, use a firm paying five places)