Top tipster Andrew Mount heads to Cheltenham, Newmarket and Ripon for five bets on Thursday
GOODNIGHT CHARLIE - (3.15 Cheltenham, 1pt win - 6/1)
GOODNIGHT CHARLIE pulled up at Warwick just four days ago but arrived here on the back of a pulled-up effort at the same venue just eight days before winning the 2019 running of this race. Best on good ground in the spring – her seven wins (including a point-to-point success) have in March, April or May – and it’s interesting to see Harry Skelton booked.
BALEARIC – (4.45 Newmarket, 1pt win - 11/4)
BALEARIC did us a favour with a game success in first-time blinkers at Newcastle last time, scoring by a neck from odds-on favourite Air To Air on his handicap debut with six and a half lengths back to the third. The time was fast and the yard’s winners in first-time blinkers are profitable to back when bidding to follow up (provide the blinkers are retained).
BRAZEN BELLE – (5.10 Ripon, 1pt each-way - 20/1
We have enough runners for a split field and it could pay to side with those drawn very low. The last time this race was run (2019) two horses went far side and they finished first and second (40-1 and 7-1). Pace angle BRAZEN BELLE (stall 3) won first time out at two and did well to finish a 40-1 fourth at Wolverhampton when we last saw her, as she made the running on the inside where the surface is usually slower. Her 6f record reads 3124 (1-4) and most firms are paying four places.
SEACLUSION - (5:10pm Ripon, 1pt each-way - 8/1)
The other one to side with is SEACLUSION (stall 4), who caught the eye on her latest turf outing when mid-division from a poor draw in the Listed Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar. The 80-1 shot wasn’t far behind Ventura Diamond, who was best of those drawn high and is now rated 98 after two subsequent wins. Seaclusion has since placed in all four all-weather outings despite her sire doing better on turf. The return to this surface and a second wind operation point to a big run.
DAPPER MAN – (5.40 Ripon, 2pts win - 7/2)
DAPPER MAN needs a small field on turf and gets his ideal conditions today. He’s just one from 18 on the all-weather but ran a good race at Newcastle on his comeback, finishing an 11-1 third, and did well to run sixth of 17 from a poor draw in stall 3 at Musselburgh last time (winner and runner-up dawn 16 and 15). He tends to come to hand early and has form figures in 5f turf races from March to June, in fields of nine or fewer runners, of 11411211 (6-8). COVID robbed him of winning opportunities last year and he’s well handicapped as a result.
Today’s Best Bets
Goodnight Charlie – 1pt win – 3.15 Cheltenham (6-1 generally)
Balearic – 1pt win – 4.45 Newmarket (11-4 generally)
Brazen Belle – 1pt each-way – 5.10 Ripon (20-1 generally)
Seaclusion – 1pt each-way – 5.10 Ripon (8-1 Betfair, Paddy Power, BetVictor)
Dapper Man – 2pts win – 5.40 Ripon (7-2 Bet365, Sky Bet)
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