Our top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain today.
HIGGS (2.20 Exeter)
Dr Richard Newland has a well-deserved reputation for doing well with ‘switchers’ (horses he takes over from other yards) at the first time of asking, scoring with 43 of the 162 qualifiers (27% strike-rate) for a profit of £12.96 to a £1 level stake at SP. In handicap hurdles only, the strike-rate is boosted to 34% (21 from 62) for a profit of £30.13. Since the start of 2017, his switchers in conditional jockeys’ handicap hurdles have recorded figures of 11172111 (7-9), suggesting that HIGGS hold strong claims in the Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle at Exeter (2.20).
RED STRIPES (5.10 Southwell)
Early pace is the key factor in 5f races at Southwell, with only three of the 38 winners this year described as ‘held up’. RED STRIPES clocked a useful time when making all at Chelmsford last time and has won on his last two visits to this venue. He doesn’t have to lead and will be just as happy tracking likely pacesetter Billy Dylan down the middle in the opening Visit attheraces.com Handicap (5.10).
PAINTED DREAM (7.45 Southwell)
PAINTED DREAM could never get into the race from off the pace at Chelmsford last time, finishing a five-length sixth (5-1) under a 7lb claimer. She remains a maiden after eight starts but her best efforts have come on the all-weather and it’s possible that the first-time blinkers, drop to Class 6 level and the switch to Fibresand could bring about improvement in the 6f Sky Sports Racing On Virgin 535 Handicap (7.45). Since the start of 2016, Showcasing offspring in this headgear have won ten of their 42 starts (24% strike-rate) for a profit of £77.44 to a £1 level stake at SP. The strike-rate improves to 36% (five from 14) on the all-weather.
TODAY’S BEST BETS
Higgs – 2.20 Exeter (2pts win, 9-4 Ladbrokes/Coral)
Red Stripes – 5.10 Southwell (2pts win, 11-2 generally)
Painted Dream – 7.45 Southwell (1pt win, 18-1 William Hill)
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