riponTop tipster Andrew Mount has two bets on Wednesday, both at double-figure odds

FUGACIOUS – 2.05 Southwell

FUGACIOUS might have started as the 7-2 favourite when only third at Tipperary las time but I thought he ran a stormer to finish so close, given that the race was run to suit prominent types and he came from miles back after missing the break. He was two lengths clear of the next of the closers and, though an 18-race maiden and down in trip to 6f, he’s drawn near the pace and will be hard to kick out of the frame here.

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COURTESY – 7.45 Southwell

Martyn Meade has a good record with his runners in first-time blinkers, scoring with seven of the 23 qualifiers (30.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £27.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. 15 of the 16 beaten horses finished outside of the first three, suggesting that COURTESY is an ‘all or nothing’ win only type of bet rather than an each-way punt. The stewards will have connections in if she wins because the trainer’s rep said ‘the filly was unsuited by the Fibresand surface’ when an 11-2 last of 11 over 7f here on her handicap debut in August. However, that’s probably nonsense and the explanation should have been ‘she had a shocking draw in trap 1 and raced in the ‘swamp’ throughout’. She ran another shocker at Wolverhampton next time but her earlier Kempton fourth behind horses now rated 85, 79 and 74 suggests there are races to be won with her off 62.

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Today’s Best Bets

Fugacious – 1pt each-way – 2.05 Curragh (10-1 Betfair, Paddy Power, both paying five places)

Courtesy – 1pt win – 7.45 Southwell (28-1 bet365, BetVictor)


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