Our top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain today.
SMITHS CROSS (12.15 Carlisle)
SMITHS CROSS has not been seen since finishing fourth when the 2-5 favourite for a novices’ hurdle at Lingfield in February but he raced in the swamp on the inside rail that day and probably did well to finish as close as he did. If we include his point-to-point form his full record reads 23112224 (2-8) and he looks interesting now that he makes his Rules chase debut in the 2m Racing TV Chase – a novices’ limited handicap chase - at Carlisle (12.15). Trainer Michael Scudamore does well with his runners having their first start in a handicap chase, scoring with 10 of the 49 qualifiers since 2008 ((20.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £32.75 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who ran over hurdles last time won nine of their 34 starts (26.5%) for a profit of £41.75.
KNOCKABOUT QUEEN (6.45 Wolverhampton)
Even with the two non-runners the 5f wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap (6.45) is packed full of early pace and the race could be run to suit KNOCKABOUT QUEEN, who came late in a field of 15 to score at Bath on her latest sprint outing. Quite why her jockey elected to make the running when upped to a stiff 7f at Leicester last time is anyone’s guess but a more patient ride will surely be on the agenda. She’s yet to win on the all-weather but wasn’t beaten far when an 18-1 fourth of 11 over 6f here on her latest Tapeta outing.
TODAY’S BEST BETS
Smiths Cross – 12.15 Carlisle (1pt win, 12-1 generally)
Knockabout Queen – 6.45 Wolverhampton (1pt win, 5-1 Ladbrokes, Coral)