Our top tipster has a huge number of stats at his disposal and has highlighted the horses it should pay to follow in Britain today
TARBOOSH (3.30 Nottingham)
Small-field expert TARBOOSH, denied a winning opportunity when Hamilton was abandoned halfway through their last meeting, looks the answer to the 5f British Stallion Studs EBF Conditions Stakes at Nottingham today (3.30). His last-time-out eighth of 13 at Newcastle was better than it looked, as the big field didn’t suit him and he’s always been happiest on turf. He’s had wind surgery since that effort and has form figures of 11114111233 (7-11) when racing over 5f on turf in fields of nine or fewer runners.
CUPID’S ARROW (4.30 Nottingham)
Ruth Carr’s CUPID’S ARROW (stall two of 13) was only fifth at Catterick last time but made the running towards the inside rail where the ground was slowest and that effort can be upgraded. He looks the pace angle down the middle of the track in the 6f MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (4.30) and can make all. The centre of the course is often quickest at Nottingham and, since the start of the 2016 season, had we bet all runners drawn in stalls one, two or three in sprint handicaps of eight or more runners, we would have won 39 of our 294 bets (13.3% strike-rate) and made a massive profit of £239.21 to a £1 level stake at SP.
TODAY’S BEST BETS
Tarboosh – Nottingham 3.30 (2pts win, 5-2 generally)
Cupids Arrow – Nottingham 4.30 (1pt each-way, 9-1 William Hill and Betfred, both paying four places)
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