Top tipster Andrew Mount has found winners on each of the last three days and heads to Southwell, Ayr and Ripon
NET LOVE – 1.50 Southwell
NET LOVE ran an excellent race in a 2m5f novices’ hurdle at Warwick last time, doing best of the closers in a 25-1 third on a track that typically favours front-runners. The two that beat her, the 11-10 joint-favourites, were rated 122 and 120, suggesting her mark of 105 is very exploitable in the novices’ handicap chase at Southwell on Tuesday (1.50). It looks significant that in-form Dr Richard Newland puts her straight into a handicap under top weight for her chase debut. Top weights in handicap chases who are having their first start over the larger obstacles, aged seven or younger, have won 94 of their 449 starts since 2010 (20.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £165.11 to a £1 level stake at SP. Nineohtwooneoh (2-1 from 4-1) was a well backed course winner on this system recently.
MR WAGYU – 6.50 Ayr
MY WAGYU has won seven of his 15 starts in June and July (+£20.60 to a £1 level stake at SP) and can take Ayr’s Jordan Electrics Handicap (6.50). He disappointed at Doncaster last time but did too much too that day and doesn’t look to face much pressure for the lead this time despite the big field. In-form handler John Quinn has a great record at Ayr – Flat or jumps – scoring with 31 of his 171 runners since 2010 (18.1% strike-rate) for a profit of £63.95 to a £1 level stake at SP. He also has Poet’s Magic in the 5.15 and Alexanderthegreat in the 8.30.
LORD WARBURTON – 8.45 Ripon
LORD WARBURTON clocked a good time when a 16-1 fourth at Chelmsford on his latest outing and might improve for that outing, his first for three months. The son of Zoffany could improve for the addition of cheekpieces and is worth an interest in Ripon’s finale. Gelded progeny of Zoffany have won nine of their 40 handicap starts in first-time cheekpieces, landing nine of their 40 starts (22.5%) for a profit of £60.00 to a £1 level stake. Only one of those raced at Ripon, 9-1 scorer Socially Shady last week.
Today’s Best Bets
Net Love – 2pts win – 1.50 Southwell (3-1 generally)
Mr Wagyu – 1pt win – 6.50 Ayr (9-1 Sky Bet)
Lord Warburton – 1pt win – 8.45 Ripon (4-1 Sky Bet, William Hill)
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