Top tipster Andrew Mount found 3-1 (from 6-1) winner Dubai Welcome at Kempton from two bets on Tuesday and has three picks for Wednesday’s racing
HIGHWAY TO HEAVEN – (4.05 Gowran Park, 1pt e/w 14/1)
The ground was slowest on the inside at Limerick’s meeting on October 10th and those who challenged on the rail were at a huge disadvantage. HIGHWAY TO HEAVEN was beaten by 31 lengths when 15th of 16 in the 7f handicap won by Indiana Grey but he had little chance after taking the inside route from stall 3 and, two furlongs out, briefly looked like he might move into contention before her effort petered out. She steps back up to an extended 1m1f – her latest win came over course and distance in August – and her full course record stands at 018301 (2-6), compared to zero from 29 at other venues.
IMPERIAL DAWN – (4.40 Kempton, 1pt e/w 10/1
The first-time blinkers/Paul & Oliver Cole system has done this column a few favours over the years and IMPERIAL DAWN is the latest qualifier. Since 2012 the score stands at 14 winners from 69 runners (20.3% strike-rate) for a profit of £69.40 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£88.97 at Betfair SP). In the same period the 2yos are 5-15 (+£10.90), with five of the ten beaten horses finishing second (20-1, 9-1 and 8-1), third (9-2) or fourth (25-1). The steady early pace was no help to Imperial Dawn on his handicap debut at Lingfield last time and he could never get involved, coming home six lengths behind the winner in ninth of the 14 runners. He’s well drawn in stall 3 and is worth a bet to further boost those impressive headgear stats, especially as 5-2 favourite Peerless has a tough draw in stall 10.
REBEL REBELLO – (5.20 Hereford, 1pt win 7/1)
REBEL REBELLO started as a weak 11-4 favourite for his debut in a soft-ground Fontwell bumper earlier this month, trailing home eighth of the nine runners. However, he never left the ‘swamp’ on the inside of the track that day, despite the fact that jockey Paddy Brennan had hugged the outside rail when winning a race over hurdles earlier. His yard has a good record in bumpers with horses who started favourite for a another bumper last-time out (6-24, +£38.70) and this race doesn’t look especially competitive.
Today’s Best Bets
Highway To Heaven – 1pt each-way – 4.05 Gowran Park (14-1 generally)
Imperial Dawn – 1pt each-way – 4.40 Kempton (10-1 bet365)
Rebel Rebello – 1pt win – 5.20 Hereford (7-1 generally)
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