Top tipster Andrew Mount has three bets on Wednesday, including over jumps in the opener at Southwell.
NINEOHTWOONEOH – 12.00 Southwell
NINEOHTWOONEOH goes straight into a handicap under top weight for his chase debut, suggesting that his connections believe him to be well handicapped. Since 2010, chase debutants in Britain who carried top weight in handicaps, aged seven or younger, have a 93 from 447 record (20.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £164.11 to a £1 level stake at SP. Only three of those were trained by Paul Nicholls and they produced a win (4-1) and two second places (4-1 and 2-1). Those owned by J P Mcmanus, as this one is, won seven of their 15 starts for a profit of £16.08.
INFLUENCE IS POWER – 1.20 Musselburgh
INFLUENCE IS POWER started at just 4-1 for his recent debut at Beverley (June 23) but his stall 1 draw proved to be a big disadvantage because of the ‘dead’ rail (the ground was slower on the inside) and he could only finish sixth of eight. However, all nine stall 1 runners were unplaced at that meeting and it’s easily forgiven. He made eyecatching late headway when finally switched off the rail and his forecast price as the 7-1 outsider of four looks to be an overreaction.
GIGI’S BEACH – 5.10 Kempton
Tommy Rock heads the early market (100-30 favourite with William Hill at 1pm on Tuesday) for 6f Unibet Thanks The Frontline Workers Handicap (5.10) but he’s by Society Rock whose progeny have a poor record in Kempton handicaps. Backing them blind would have found only one winner from 82 bets and that was a 4-6 shot back in August 2018. Tommy Rock was a comfortable winner at Wolverhampton on his handicap debut last time but the stats say he could struggle to follow up. Things haven’t panned out for GIGI’S BEACH since his course and distance reappearance win in first-time blinkers but the return to turf was probably against him when runner-up at Yarmouth and he was always trapped wide after a slow start when third at Lingfield last time. He clocked a good speed figure for his latest effort and will appreciate the return to this venue.
Today’s Best Bets
Nineohtwooneoh – 2pts win – 12.00 Southwell (4-1 William Hill)
Influence Is Power – 1pt win – 1.20 Musselburgh (no prices yet)
Gigi’s Beach – 1pt win – 5.10 Kempton (6-1 William Hill)
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