Top tipster Andrew Mount found 5-1 Newcastle scorer Stittenham Wood on Tuesday and has three selections for Wednesday’s racing
GEMS JEWEL – 1.00 Redcar
If you follow me in and put your hard-earned cash on GEMS JEWEL in this 18-runner 6f nursery then don’t make the mistake of looking at her form first, otherwise you’ll never press the ‘confirm bet’ button. Ivan Furtado’s filly has finished 7th of 7, 7th of 11 and 10th of 10 in her three runs but there are some good reasons for expecting her to do a lot better now handicapping. There was promise in that second run when about five lengths behind the winner at Beverley in a race not run to suit her closing style and she’s well drawn in stall 1 today. More persuasive is her trainer’s record in nurseries - Ivan Furtado has a nine from 38 record in such contests (23.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £109.00 to a £1 level stake. The strike-rate increases to 35.8% for those making their handicap debuts (five from 14, +£91.00) and Gems Jewel qualifies on both counts.
GIN PALACE & DAWAAM – 1.50 Goodwood
GIN PALACE was only sixth of the eight runners when I fancied him at Ascot last time but there were will positives to be gleaned from that performance – he sat closer the to the early pace than is usually ideal on the straight course at the Berkshire venue and the winner, the hugely progressive Tempus, is near the head of the market for the Cambridgeshire this Saturday. Perhaps he simply doesn’t like Ascot and is best judged on his recorded elsewhere, since last season’s reappearance, of 1841136112 (5-10). He looks the sole pace in this six-runner line-up and Oisin Murphy is up for the first time.
I’m going to save DAWAAM, who did well to run fifth from off the pace at Kempton last time.
TODAY'S BEST BETS
Gems Jewel – 1pt each-way – 1.00 Redcar (33-1 generally)
Gin Palace – 1.5pts win – 1.50 Goodwood (7-1 bet365)
Dawaam – 0.5pt win – 1.50 Goodwood (100-30 in a place, 3-1 generally)
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