Top tipster Andrew Mount struck with Soyounique (2pts at 4-1) and Enfranchise (2pts @ 15-8) on Friday and has five selections on Saturday. Check out his thoughts below, alongside an exclusive Paddy Power through the card Cheltenham offer.
SEVERANCE – (12.15 Cheltenham, 1pt each-way, 9/1)
Lively Citizen, whose Cheltenham record reads 121 (2-3), is a solid Placepot inclusion but his chance is covered in an early price of around 100-30 and I’d rather take a chance on SEVERANCE at a bigger price.
Ben Pauling’s handicappers have been in good form since the beginning of December, landing eight of their 43 starts for a profit of £74.53 to the usual £1 stake. Severance is perhaps not entirely straightforward but, as a lightly weighted six-year-old, he fits the stats for the opening for this opening 2m1f handicap hurdle.
He has failed to settle over longer trips the last twice and looks set to encounter the required strong pace thanks to the presence of frontrunners Geromino and The Widdow Maker.
RIO SILVA – (12.38 Uttoxeter, 1pt each-way, 16/1)
Gallopade raced wide when winning Fakenham’s bumper at 10-1 but it was the performances of those who raced on the inside rail that were more noteworthy.
Fourth-placed RIO SILVA, weak in the betting (5-1 from 3-1) was the chief ‘swamp dweller’ and Olly Murphy’s filly can be supported next time.
EVENING SONG – (12.52 Lingfield, 1pt win, 7/1)
EVENING SONG did well to finish third over trip and track last time after missing the break and being switched to race in the ‘swamp’ on the inside rail. Richard Guest’s filly also caught the eye at Southwell the time before when a 25-1 fourth of 14 from a poor draw in stall 2. Runner-up Custard The Dragon, who had the worst of the draw in stall 1, won next time and the ninth, Sycamore (stall 4), was a winner back at Southwell on Thursday. Throw in the two subsequent wins from Impeach, 13th from stall 5, and it’s hard to argue with the merit of that run. I’ve saved on Coase, who was seventh from stall 3 in that Southwell contest. He’s run since – doing second best of the hold-up horses when fourth at Chelmsford – and will be happier at this venue.
WHATMORE – (1.55 Cheltenham, 0.5pt each-way, 9/1)
WHATMORE has been off the track for 427 days but has a history of running well when fresh and will be hard to kick out of the first three or four. Since his racecourse debut, Henry Daly’s ten-year-old has form figures of 511137342 (3-9) when rested for at least six weeks, improving to 411137 (3-6) on left-handed tracks. Good ground suits and dropping back from 3m won’t be an issue.
BROUGHTONS PEACE – (4.30 Kempton, 1pt win, 10/1)
Making the running on the ‘dead’ rail was always going to end in disaster for BROUGHTONS PEACE when she was 9-1 for a similar course and distance contest last month, though she didn’t drop away as quickly as expected and I was quite taken by her two-and-a-half length sixth of ten. That was only her second run after wind surgery and the booking of 7lb claimer of the moment Christian Howarth is a positive one.
Today’s Best Bets
SEVERANCE – 1pt each-way – 12.15 Cheltenham (9-1 generally)
RIO SILVA – 1pt each-way – 12.38 Uttoxeter (16-1 bet365 is the only offer so far)
EVENING SONG – 1pt win – 12.52 Lingfield (7-1 bet365)
WHATMORE – 0.5pt each-way – 1.55 Cheltenham (9-1 bet365)
BROUGHTONS PEACE – 1pt win – 6.30 Kempton (10-1 generally)
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