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Andrew Mount’s Best Bets – Tuesday, 21st March

Top tipster Andrew Mount gives one selection for Tuesday’s racing, racing on the Market Rasen card.

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Posted: 7.20am March 20th (Odds correct at time of writing)

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4.25 Market Rasen – MADE FOR YOU (1pt win – 11/1 generally)

I’m always looking for horses who thrive at a certain time of year – those of you who followed me in on Mr Wagyu last summer will know exactly what I’m talking about – and in March/April I usually have plenty of bets on ‘spring horses’. These have usually been struggling in the mud all winter and are now encountering their preferred sound surface. However, things have been somewhat topsy-turvy this year, with a dry February and a wet March. We then get the dilemma of whether to back them or not – horse x is five from five in the spring, but all those wins came on good or quicker ground and now he’s running on good to soft or even soft going. That’s why I’m taking a cautious approach this week, with small stakes and fewer bets than normal, rather than putting up a selection just for the sake of it.

The timing of my column also makes life difficult – horses I don’t like at 5-1 on a Monday evening, might become bets if they are 10-1 on Tuesday morning a vice versa. When I first looked at the 2m7f handicap at Market Rasen I thought MADE FOR YOU was over-priced at 9-1 – he then drifted out to 14-1, a price I missed, before settling back at a general 11-1. There’s a feeling of ‘dam, I missed the 14s’ but if I thought 9-1 was too big then I have to make him a bet at 11-1. The reasoning is simple – he needs a right-handed track, his record in handicap hurdles when racing in this direction being 111122521 (5-9) for a profit of £9.58 to a £1 level stake at SP. His last two runs have been awful – a pulled-up at Fakenham on New Year’s Day and a 44-length fifth of six at Catterick – but both those runs were left-handed and he’ll be happier back at Market Rasen. The last time he ran here he finished a solid 7-1 runner-up to Thirtyfourstitches, a progressive individual who is now rated 16lb higher. Three of his wins have come at this time of year and, unlike most of the spring horses in my database he does not seem ground dependent.

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Andrew Mount’s Best Bets

4.25 Market Rasen – MADE FOR YOU (1pt win – 11/1 generally)