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Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips – Saturday, 8th March

Sandown’s Imperial Cup headlines the final pre-Cheltenham weekend, as Andrew Mount gives GG readers his best bets.

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Posted: 2.27pm, Friday, March 7th

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1.50 Sandown – GEORGE’S LAD (1pt win – 13/2 William Hill, bet365) & SILVER THORN (0.5pt e/w – 18/1 William Hill, bet365)

In-form Emma Lavelle has a fantastic record with her handicap hurdle debutants, scoring with 45 of the 266 qualifiers this century (16.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £53.63 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 32.60, A/E = 1.38). Those aged seven or younger were 44 from 247 (17.8%) for a profit of £69.13. She has two qualifiers in the EBF Final and both are worth a bet. GEORGE’S LAD has improved his RPRs (Racing Post Ratings) with each of his four starts over hurdles (91, 108, 117 and 123), culminating in a maiden hurdle win at Doncaster last time when stepped up to 2m3.5f.

SILVER THORN did well to win from midfield at Stratford back in October and he chased home Belliano – favourite for today’s race – at Market Rasen last time. The six-year-old clocked a fast time for that runner-up effort and is a big price.

13:50 European Breeders’ Fund Betfair ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Final (Premier H’cap) (GBB)
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2.25 Sandown – SPIRITS BAY (1pt e/w – 8/1 William Hill) & GO DANTE (0.5pt e/w – 15/2 Ladbrokes, 7/1 generally)

Simply backing horses who were ridden patiently in their prep race would have found the last ten Imperial Cup winners (from 75 runners) for a profit of £56.00 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 5.16, A/E = 1.94). Those who led or raced prominently were 0-81. There are seven qualifiers this year…

Lump Sun

Batman Girac

To Chase A Dream

Wreckless Eric

Go Dante

Spirits Bay

Tapley

The two I want to back are last year’s winner GO DANTE, who looked on his way back when a 28-1 seventh of 17 in the William Hill Hurdle at Newbury last month. His record in March reads 111 (3-3).

SPIRITS BAY ran a cracking race to finish third to Constitution Hill in the International Hurdle at Cheltenham on Trials Day when I put him up as an each-way bet at 1001-1 (two places). The drop in grade will suit, as will the switch to a right-handed track as his record this way round reads 1211 (3-4).

14:25 Betfair Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

6.15 Wolverhampton – ETRETAT (0.5pt e/w – 7/1 bet365)

Charlie Johnston’s ETRETAT trailed home last of the eight runners when 7-2 joint favourite for a 1m2f handicap at Lingfield last month, but he made the running against the ‘dead’ rail, and it was no great surprise to see him go out like a light. Claiming jockey Ashley Young is replaced by Jason Hart and the switch to Tapeta won’t be an issue for this course winner. He’s well drawn in stall 3 to track likely pace angle Eagle Day – drawn next door in stall 2 – and his jockey can sit on the shoulder of that rival before pouncing late.

18:15 BetUK: It’s Where The UK Bets Handicap

Andrew Mount’s Best Bets

1.50 Sandown – GEORGE’S LAD (1pt win – 13/2 William Hill, bet365) & SILVER THORN (0.5pt e/w – 18/1 William Hill, bet365)

2.25 Sandown – SPIRITS BAY (1pt e/w – 8/1 William Hill) & GO DANTE (0.5pt e/w – 15/2 Ladbrokes, 7/1 generally)

6.15 Wolverhampton – ETRETAT (0.5pt e/w – 7/1 bet365)


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