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Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips – Sunday, 30th June

It is the Irish Derby at the Curragh on Sunday and our top tipster Andrew Mount has two tips across the quality action at the Irish racecourse…

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Posted: 9:48pm, Saturday, June 29th

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2.50 Curragh – JM JUNGLE (1pt ew – 11/1 William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power, all five places)

The form of the 5f Class 2 handicap won by Desperate Hero at Hamilton on June 2nd has worked out incredibly well…

Position / Horse / next run

1st / Desperate Hero / no subsequent run

2nd / American Affair / WON 6-1

3rd / Marine Wave / WON 8-1

4th / King’s Lynn / 2nd 15-2

5th / Moon Flight / WON 9-2

6th / Reigning Profit / 6th 7-1

7th / Aberama Gold / 4th to Marine Wave 7-2

8th / Zarzyni / 2nd by a neck 5-1

9th / Bergerac / WON 5-1

10th / Makanah / 9th to Bergerac 16-1

11th / JM Jungle / no subsequent run

12th / Never Dark / 4th 40-1

13th / Dickiebird / 2nd 15-2

14th / Jordan Electrics / WON 9-4

15th / BE PROUD / WON 4-1

…that’s an incredible return of six wins from 13 starts and two of the beaten horses ran in races won by rivals from that same Hamilton contest.

Today it is the turn of 11th-placed JM JUNGLE, representing the John & Sean Quinn yard who are seven from 25 with Irish raiders since the beginning of 2017 (+£13.50 to a £1 level stake at SP). They won this with El Astronaute in 2019 and the four-year-old will appreciate the rain-softened ground, having recorded form figures on officially good to soft or softer going of 2332144 (1-7).

Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap)

3.25 Curragh – NORWALK HAVOC (1pt win – 14/1 bet365, 11/1 William Hill)

This 1m Listed contest has not been a good race for fillies and mares, with only one winner from 15 such runners in the past ten years. The ten winners had raced within the past eight weeks and had we only backed the colts, geldings or entires, who had the benefit of a relatively recent outing we’d have won nine of our 57 bets and made a profit of £11.45 to a £1 level stake at SP. Eight of the nine winners were drawn in stall 5 or lower, with those in stall 1 landing four of their six starts. Jesscica Harrington is 2-2 in this race in the past ten years (winners in 2023 and 2020 at 18-1 and 100-30) and it could be worth chancing her NORWALK HAVOC from stall 1. The gelded son of Showcasing recorded form figures of 112 (2-3) on soft/heavy going on his first three starts this term, with the runner-up effort by one-length when 13-2 for a course and distance Listed contest and can be forgiven his subsequent Group 3 defeat as the step up to 1m2f and good ground didn’t suit.

Colm McLoughlin Celebration Stakes (Listed Race)

Andrew Mount’s Best Bets

2.50 Curragh – JM JUNGLE (1pt ew – 11/1 William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power, all five places)

3.25 Curragh – NORWALK HAVOC (1pt win – 14/1 bet365, 11/1 William Hill)

Time
Race
Our tip
Place bet
Norwalk Havoc Norwalk Havoc
Result
4th 8/1

Andrew Mount’s tips for Sunday, 30th June 2024.


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