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Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips – Thursday, 19th December

The festive racing action on Thursday includes two jumps and two all-weather meetings with Andrew Mount giving GG readers his best bets.

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Posted: 4.07pm, Wednesday, December 18th

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2.55 Southwell – CHOLA EMPIRE (1pt ew – 11/1 William Hill)

The reasoning for betting on CHOLA EMPIRE today is very simple – he’s a Southwell course expert. David Simcock’s five-year-old arrives here on the back of a last-of-13 effort at Chelmsford, but the Polytrack surface was far from ideal for him and his low draw and prominent running style were at a huge disadvantage at a meeting where all bar one of the winners came from off the pace, most of them out wide. His full record at today’s venue rads 1312 (2-4) with both defeats by just over one length. The latest reverse came from a tough wide draw, and he may have done too much too soon (the winner, third and fourth all came from off the pace). He’s one of only a few prominent racers in the line-up and looks sure to run well. CHARENCEY enjoyed zero luck in running when we bet him at Lingfield last time and could be the one for the forecast.

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3.30 Southwell – POPULAR DREAM (2pt win – 2/1 bet365)

POPULAR DREAM
was backed from the overnight 13-2 (generally 5-1) into even-money favouritism when bolting up for this column in a maiden over track and trip six days ago and is going to be very difficult to beat in this 0-60 handicap under a 5lb penalty. Derek Shaw’s four-year-old clocked a good time for that comfortable success and, like last week, has drawn stall 4 of 12. He’s drawn near the likely pace horse and should have the race run to suit.

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6.40 Chelmsford – FOREVER PROUD (1pt win – 8/1 bet365)

Like Chola Empire (see above), FOREVER PROUD had little chance against the draw/pace bias here on December 5th, weakening into sixth place after making the running on the ‘dead’ rail in a 1m2f handicap. The cut back to 1m will suit and a more patient ride, like the one she was given when third over this trip at Newcastle on her penultimate start, could see her record a first success since joining James Owen.

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Andrew Mount’s Best Bets

2.55 Southwell – CHOLA EMPIRE (1pt ew – 12/1 William Hill)

3.30 Southwell – POPULAR DREAM (2pt win – 2/1 bet365)

6.40 Chelmsford – FOREVER PROUD (1pt win – 8/1 bet365)

Time
Race
Our tip
Place bet
Chola Empire Chola Empire
Result
11th 9/1
Popular Dream Popular Dream
Result
2nd 7/4
Forever Proud Forever Proud
Result
1st 13/2

Andrew Mount’s tips for Thursday, 19th December 2024.


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