Clonmel’s Grade 2 Clonmel Oil Chase is the feature contest on Thursday among six meetings. You can follow along with Andrew Mount’s two best bets.
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Posted: 9:10pm, Wednesday, November 6th
3.00 Ludlow – LIGHTNINGUPYOURDAYS (1pt win – 11/1 bet365, 17/2 William Hill)
With the prevailing good ground a possible problem where short-priced favourite Wendigo is concerned the value bet is Alastair Ralph’s LIGHTNINGUPYOURDAYS. The five-year-old has shown ability in three bumpers and a Uttoxeter maiden hurdle, doing best of the hold-up horses when a 25-1 fourth in the latter contest. He too might prefer more juice in the ground, but he’s available at 8-1+ as opposed to evens and his yard is in fine form, sending out four winners (17-2, 8-1, 6-1 and 3-1) from just nine runners in the past fortnight. The booking of Jonathan Burke is another positive – he’s seven from 22 (+£35.10 to a £1 level stake at SP) when riding for this yard at Ludlow.
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3.27 Newbury – I’D LIKE TO KNOW (1pt win – 4/1 bet365, 7/2 generally)
This 2m4f Class 3 handicap chase typically goes to a young horse who was making its seasonal debut. Since the race’s inception in 2016, backing all those aged seven or younger who had been rested for 150 days or longer would have found six winners from 24 bets for a profit of £23.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. There were no qualifiers in 2022 and the sole qualifier in the only blank year – Nestor Park in 2020 – ran second at 33-1. Those who fit the bill this year are I’D LIKE TO KNOW, Masaccio and High Treason, with preference for the first-named who has plenty of chase experience, winning two of his four starts, and is proven when fresh. Chris Gordon’s seven-year-old, an easy winner at Kempton in early May when we last saw him, likes today’s venue, finishing first and second by a short head from his two course visits.
Andrew Mount’s Best Bets
3.00 Ludlow – LIGHTNINGUPYOURDAYS (1pt win – 11/1 bet365, 17/2 William Hill)
3.27 Newbury – I’D LIKE TO KNOW (1pt win – 4/1 bet365, 7/2 generally)
Lightningupourdays
Andrew Mount’s tips for Thursday, 7th November 2024.
Andrew Mount’s Myth Busters – Stall 1 is a Good Draw at Wolverhampton
The British Flat turf season comes to an end at Doncaster this Saturday (November 9th) and Flat-racing punters will only have the all-weather to bet on until the spring. One phrase likely to be uttered from the mouths of racing pundits this winter is “…has the advantage of the inside rail” but ‘dead’ rails crop…
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