Five more meetings take place on Wednesday, as we continue the final week of flat racing on turf. Andrew Mount has the following top tips.
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Posted: 5:03pm, Tuesday, November 5th
12.50 Chepstow – SALT ROCK (1pt win – 14/1 bet365)
SALT ROCK trailed home last of eight when 6-4 favourite for a Warwick bumper on his debut for Kim Bailey back in March of last year but showed plenty more at Exeter eight months later on his sole subsequent outing. The son of Soldier Of Fortune was sent off as 12-1 in the novices’ hurdle won by Gidleigh Park, a race run in a fast time, coming home third, albeit by 28 lengths. That race worked out especially well, with the odds-in winner going on to complete a hat-trick before his sixth place in the Albert Bartlett at last season’s Cheltenham festival, after which he was rated 138. Seven-and-a-half length runner-up Range, now rated 123, won on his next outing, while the sixth and eight have won over fences this term and the 72-length tenth won two of his next three starts. There could be plenty of improvement to come this term and he looks worth a small interest.
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5.15 Dundalk – DANCING STEVE (1pt win – 11/4 Paddy Power/Betfair)
DANCING STEVE finished a creditable third over course and distance on his all-weather debut last time and that form has been boosted by the winner/fourth who both scored at the next time of asking (the runner-up, Koniag, and sixth, Areana, both go in the 4.45 here today and I certainly wouldn’t put you off doing the each-way double with the last-named who was sent off as favourite but blew the start). The Ado McGuinness-trained three-year-old was an eyecatcher at Listowel three runs back when emerging clear best of the prominent racers in seventh of 16, hated the soft ground when well held at Down Royal next time and remains open to improvement on Polytrack.
6.30 Kempton – TAHITIAN PRINCE (2pt win – 12/1 bet365)
TAHITIAN PRINCE has caught the eye in both course outings since returning from wind surgery, keeping on well into sixth of 12 behind the prolific Whitcombe Rockstar in a 1m Class 4 handicap before last month’s 11-1 sixth to Rockit Tommy in another Class 4 handicap, this time over tonight’s trip of 1m3f. The steady early pace was against the hold-up performers that day and he actually fared second best of those to come from midfield or further back. Seventh-placed Orchestra, also ridden patiently, was a winner over hurdles next time and last-placed finisher, 100-1 shot Cresta Cat who raced keenly in rear, has gone three from three since with the wins at 66-1, 13-2 and 6-5. The 100-1 tenth has also won since, the winner has scored subsequently, and the form looks rock solid. Tahitian Prince now drops to Class 5 level, and I like the presence of stablemate Graignes in the line-up, who is likely to put pace to the race.
Andrew Mount’s Best Bets
12.50 Chepstow – SALT ROCK (1pt win – 14/1 bet365)
5.15 Dundalk – DANCING STEVE (1pt win – 11/4 Paddy Power/Betfair)
6.30 Kempton – TAHITIAN PRINCE (2pt win – 12/1 bet365)
Andrew Mount’s tips for Wednesday, 6th November 2024.
Andrew Mount’s Myth Busters – Sedgefield Form Doesn’t Travel
I’ve heard the expression “Sedgefield form doesn’t travel” from racing pundits on numerous occasions (as recently as last week on William Hill radio) and I’ve often downgraded the chance of Sedgefield winners when they change venue for their next start. However, I’ve never dug into the stats in detail, and I want to use this…
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