Home / News / Tipster Blogs / Cheltenham Festival Previews – Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Andrew Mount)

Tipster Blogs

Cheltenham Festival Previews – Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Andrew Mount)

Horse racing

Of all the races due to be run at next month’s Cheltenham Festival this one seems to have had more column inches and podcast hours devoted to it than all the others combined. It’s shaping up to be an absolute belter if the main contenders stand their ground. Read Andrew Mount‘s thoughts on the Festival’s curtain-raiser, alongside SBK‘s new customer offer of Money Back As Cash Up To £20


CONSTITUTION HILL 2/1

Nicky Henderson’s son of Blue Bresil was hugely impressive when scoring by 14 lengths from Might I at Sandown on his Rules debut in early December and followed up in similar fashion in the Grade 1 Tolworth Hurdle at the same venue. He’s going left-handed for the first time and his sire’s progeny fare better over fences than hurdles but he’s still difficult to imagine him not going close at least. Nicky Henderson described him as “the most extraordinary creature I’ve come across in years" after his debut win and that’s quite a statement from the trainer of Shishkin, Altior and Sprinter Sacre.


BACK CONSTITUTION HILL AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


DYSART DYNAMO 3/1

The Willie Mullins-trained six-year-old took his record to four wins from four starts when making all in the Grade 2 Moscow Flyer novice hurdle at Punchestown in January, a race that has been won in the past by the likes of Kicking King, Min, Vautor and Douvan. Racing Post Ratings have him right up there with that bunch and actually have him just ahead of Constitution Hill on 160. He’s also entered in the Ballymore.


BACK DYSART DYNAMO AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


FIL DOR 20/1

He bids to enhance his already lofty reputation at Leopardstown on the first weekend in February but, even if he wins impressively, will surely head for the Triumph Hurdle against fellow juveniles rather than take on his elders.


BACK FIL DOR AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


PIED PIPER 12/1

PIED PIPER, who runs in the same Caldwell Construction Ltd colours as Fil Dor, might come here instead of clashing with his stablemate in the Triumph. A dual winner on the Flat for the Gosdens, he maintained his 100& hurdles record with a cosy Grade 2 success at Cheltenham on Trials Day, though may have been a shade flattered by taking the wide route on the better ground.


BACK PIED PIPER AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


JONBON 7/2

Marmite horse JONBON took his form figures to 11111 (5-5), including his point win, when successful at odds of 2-5 in the Grade 2 Supreme Trial at Haydock, sweating up beforehand as he often does. It will be fascinating to see how he handles the preliminaries at Cheltenham and no surprise to see him fitted with a hood. He’s proved tactically versatile, scoring from the front at Ascot in December and from off the pace at Haydock. The likely stronger pace in the Supreme could bring about further improvement but there’s always the nagging doubt that he’ll leave his race in the preliminaries.


BACK JONBON AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


Sir Gerhard

SIR GERHARD 6/1

Appreciate It blew the seven-year-old stats out of the water when bolting up for Willie Mullins in this race last year and it’s hard to crab SIR GERHARD solely on age grounds. He lost his unbeaten record when third to Kilcruit in the Champion bumper at Punchestown but bounced back to win impressively in maiden hurdle company at Leopardstown over Christmas. At the time of writing he was trading at around 6-1 for the Supreme and will shorten considerably if justifying favouritism in the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle at Leopardstown on Sunday (February 6th). However, he’s 9-2 favourite for the 2m5f Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle on day two of the festival and the longer race is likely to be on the agenda.


BACK SIR GERHARD AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


MIGHTY POTTER 14/1

Gordon Elliott’s MIGHTY POTTER – yet another who runs in the red and white colours of Caldwell Construction Ltd – was caught out in a tactical affair when a close third in the Royal Bond, coming from much further off the pace than the two who beat him – Statuaire and My Mate Mozzie. That was quite some effort to finish just over one length behind the winner and he sat closer to the early pace when landing the Future Champions Novice Hurdle at Leopardstown just after Christmas. At the time of writing, he was trading at around 14-1 for the Supreme and the same price for the Ballymore.


BACK MIGHTY POTTER AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


FAROUT 66/1

Like Mighty Potter (see above), the Willie Mullins-trained FAROUT was inconvenienced by the steady gallop in the Royal Bond in which he finished less than four lengths back in a 20-1 fourth. He ran a similar race when third to Might Potter in the Future Champions, again at 20-1, and looks likely to improve for a big field/strong pace scenario. Since joining his current yard his record in fields of 12 or more runners reads 11 (2-2), as compared to 5243 (0-4) in anything smaller. I’d be happy to back him each-way at the current 66/1 if he lines up in the Supreme but he might end up in the County Hurdle rather than take the novice route.


BACK FAROUT AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


EL FABIOLO 14/1

EL FABIOLO bolted up at Tramore on New Year’s Day, his first run for Willie Mullins. He fits into the ‘could be anything’ category and is hard to assess at this stage, though the picture will become clearer after the DRF where he’s due to run the in the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle.


BACK EL FABIOLO AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


JPR ONE 33/1

Colin Tizzard’s JPR ONE was mentioned favourably in dispatches prior to his 12-1 debut success at Exeter in November and his yard was going through a quiet spell when he was a neck second to Jamie Snowden’s Datsalrightgino at Cheltenham the following month. He returned to winning ways at Taunton in January and is one of the favourites for the Betfair Hurdle (10-1 at the time of writing). A good run there could see him come into the Supreme picture.


BACK JPR ONE AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


SHALLWEHAVEONEMORE 50/1

Good-ground Kempton bumper winner SHALLWEHAVEONEMORE was a big eyecatcher at Ascot on his hurdles debut in late October, failing to settle and doing well to finish just over one length back in second after racing on the slower ground towards the inside rail. He finished well behind Constitution Hill in the Tolworth but is not one to give up on yet. He could run at Sandown on Saturday (February 5).


BACK SHALLWEHAVEONEMORE AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH


SUMMARY

It feels like we’ve been discussing this race for years but rightly so given the wealth of talent among the entries. There’s every chance that Constitution Hill could be another Shiskin, or Dysart Dynamo another Douvan, but I’ve been taken by the attitude of Gordon Elliott’s MIGHTY POTTER and he gets the vote at this stage. Jpr One could run well for the home team but the picture will become a lot clearer once the Dublin Racing Festival and Betfair Hurdle are out of the way.


BACK MIGHTY POTTER AND GET £20 BACK AS CASH WITH SBK


SBK 20Full Welcome Bonus terms with SBK

  1. Once the bonus is credited to your account, losses will be refunded up to the bonus amount. 2. You must deposit at least the qualifying deposit of £20 (or currency equivalent) in a single amount with your first deposit to be eligible for the rebate. 3. Users making their first deposit by Skrill, Neteller, PayPal or a virtual/prepaid card will not qualify for this promotion. 4. To withdraw rebated funds, you must bet at least the qualifying deposit on any combination of markets within the promotional period; otherwise rebated funds will be forfeited. 5. Unused bonuses expire after seven days of being credited to a user account and will be removed after this period. 6. The promotion is open to new users making their first deposit by card or Trustly only. 7. The sign-up offer is strictly limited to one per individual, family, household address, email address, same payment account number, and shared computer. 8. The offer can only be redeemed by users who sign up after 5pm BST September 30th 2021 and are not existing Smarkets Exchange users. 9. This promotion cannot be used in conjunction with any other sign-up promotion. 10. SBK standard terms for promotions apply.

begambleaware.org