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Cheltenham Trials Day Trends – How to Find Winners at Cheltenham’s Final Pre-Festival Day

I’ve brought together the last 10 Cheltenham running’s for the Trials Day races as the track was waterlogged in 2021. The International Hurdle has been moved to Trials Day since last year and there was no renewal in the 2022/23 season.

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Triumph Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) – The Finesse – 2m1f

Trends:

  • ALL of the last 10 winners placed Top 2 last time out
  • 9 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 6 weeks
  • 8 of the last 10 winners last ran between 21 and 42 days ago
  • 8 of the last 10 winners came from the Top 2 in the market
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were French bred
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT run at Cheltenham (the two who had were unbeaten)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out (the other two had not won over hurdles)
  • 6 of the last 10 winners were unbeaten that season

Winners and Cheltenham Race Run (Finishing Pos):

2024 – Sir Gino (FR) – No Race

2023 – Comfort Zone (IRE) – No Race

2022 – Pied Piper (GB) – Triumph Hurdle (3rd)

2020 – Galahad Quest (FR) – Juvenile Handicap (14th)

2019 – Fakir Doudairies (FR) – Supreme (4th)

2018 – Apples Shakira (FR) – Triumph (4th)

2017 – Defi Du Seuil (FR) – Triumph (1st)

2016 – Protek Des Flos (FR) – No Race

2015 – Peace And Co (FR) – Triumph (1st)

2014 – Le Rocher (FR) – No Race

Novices’ Handicap Chase – 2m4½f

Trends:

  • ALL of the last 10 winners were aged 6 to 8-years-old
  • ALL of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7-years-old
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were NOT the favourite (Last two were and both Paul Nicholls)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were sent of single-figure prices
  • 7 of the last 10 winners carried at least 11-3

Winners and Cheltenham Race Run (Finishing Pos):

2024 – Ginny’s Destiny (IRE) – Turners Novices’ Chase (2nd)* Race is no longer contested

2023 – Stage Star (IRE) – Turners Novices’ Chase (1st)* Race is no longer contested

2022 – Imperial Alcazar (IRE) – Plate (2nd)

2020 – Simply The Betts (IRE) – Plate (1st)

2019 – Kildisart (IRE) – JLT Novices’ Chase (4th)* Race is no longer contested

2018 – Mister Whitaker (IRE) – Novices’ Handicap Chase (1st)

2017 – Royal Vacation (IRE) – Brown Advisory (Pulled Up)

2016 – King’s Odyssey (IRE) – No Race

2015 – Generous Ransom (IRE) – Novices’ Handicap Chase (3rd)

2014 – Indian Castle (IRE) – Kim Muir (7th)

Handicap Chase – 2m4½f

Trends:

  • ALL of the last 10 winners had run at Cheltenham before
  • ALL of the last 10 winners last ran inside 60 days
  • ALL of the last 6 winners were French bred
  • NO winners from the last 10 carried 10-13 to 11-6
  • 9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 6 and 8
  • 9 of the last 10 winners were sent of a single-figure price
  • 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT the favourite (one Joint favourite winner)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had won more than once at 19f to 21f
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had 6 or fewer runs over hurdles
  • 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had 10 or more runs over fences

Winners and Cheltenham Race Run (Finishing Pos):

2024 – Ga Law (FR) – Ryanair (Pulled Up)

2023 – Il Ridoto (FR) – Plate (6th)

2022 – Torn And Frayed (FR) – No Race

2020 – Cepage (FR) – Ultima (7th)

2019 – Siruh Du Lac (FR) – Plate (1st)

2018 – Frodon (FR) – Ryanair (5th)

2017 – Foxtail Hill (IRE) – Novices’ Handicap Chase (Fell)

2016 – Annacotty (IRE) – Ryanair (11th)

2015 – Annacotty (IRE) – Ultima (16th)

2014 – Wishfull Thinking (GB) – Champion Chase (5th)

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Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) – 3m1½f

Trends:

  • ALL of the last 10 winners had run at Cheltenham before
  • ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 157+
  • 9 of the last 10 winners last ran between 24 and 56 days ago
  • 9 of the last 10 winners had 8 or fewer runs over hurdles
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had already won at least a Grade 2
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had already won at 3 miles or further
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
  • 6 of the last 10 winners last ran at Kempton or Aintree
  • 5 of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
  • 5 of the last 10 winners won last time out
  • 5 of the last 10 winners were 8-year-olds
  • Only Many Clouds (twice) has successfully carried 11-10 to win

Winners and Cheltenham Race Run (Finishing Pos):

2024 – Capodanno (FR) – Ryanair (4th)

2023 – Ahoy Senor (IRE) – Gold Cup (Fell)

2022 – Chantry House (IRE) – Gold Cup (Pulled Up)

2020 – Santini (GB) – Gold Cup (2nd)

2019 – Frodon (FR) – Ryanair (1st)

2018 – Definitly Red (IRE) – Gold Cup (6th)

2017 – Many Clouds (IRE) – Last Race

2016 – Smad Place (FR) – Gold Cup (6th)

2015 – Many Clouds (IRE) – Gold Cup (6th)

2014 – The Giant Bolster (GB) – Gold Cup (3rd)

The International Hurdle (Grade 2) – 2m1f

Trends:

  • 9 of the last 10 winners came from the Top 3 in the market
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 7-years-old or younger
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 156+
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had already run at Cheltenham
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had already won at least a Grade 2
  • 7 of the last 10 winners placed Top 2 last time out

Winners and Cheltenham Race Run (Finishing Pos):

2024 – Lossiemouth (FR) – Mares’ Hurdle (1st)

2021 – Guard Your Dreams (GB) – No Race

2020 – Song For Someone (GER) – No Race

2019 – Call Me Lord (FR) – Champion Hurdle (13th)

2018 – Brain Power (IRE) – Champion Hurdle (Pulled Up)

2017 – My Tent Or Yours (IRE) – No Race

2016 – The New One (IRE) – Champion Hurdle (5th)

2015 – Old Guard (GB) – No Race

2014 – The New One (IRE) – Champion Hurdle (5th)

2013 – The New One (IRE) – Champion Hurdle (3rd)

Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) – 3m

Trends:

  • 9 of the last 10 winners had run at Cheltenham
  • 9 of the last 10 winners last ran between 28 and 43 days ago
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had already won at least a Grade 2
  • 7 of the last 10 winners came from the Top 2 in the market
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had at least 4 wins over hurdles
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had won at between 23f and 25f
  • 6 of the last 10 winners last ran at Ascot or Cheltenham
  • 6 of the last 10 winners has been beaten that season
  • 6 of the last 10 winners had NOT already won at Cheltenham

Winners and Cheltenham Race Run (Finishing Pos):

2024 – Noble Yeats (IRE) – Stayers’ Hurdle (7th)

2023 – Gold Tweet (FR) – Stayers’ Hurdle (8th)

2022 – Paisley Park (IRE) – Stayers’ Hurdle (3rd)

2020 – Paisley Park (IRE) – Stayers’ Hurdle (7th)

2019 – Paisley Park (IRE) – Stayers’ Hurdle (1st)

2018 – Agrapart (FR) – No Race

2017 – Unowhatimeanharry (GB) – Stayers’ Hurdle (3rd)

2016 – Thistlecrack (GB) – Stayers’ Hurdle (1st)

2015 – Saphir Du Rheu (FR) – Stayers’ Hurdle (2nd)

2014 – Knockara Beau (IRE) – Gold Cup (7th)

The Classic Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) – 2m4½f

Trends:

  • ALL of the last 10 winners last ran within 60 days
  • ALL of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6
  • ALL of the last 9 winners last ran between 27 and 57 days ago
  • 9 of the last 10 winners came from the Top 3 in the market
  • 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had won at between 19f and 21f
  • 6 of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
  • 6 of the last 10 winners were unbeaten that season

Winners and Cheltenham Race Run (Finishing Pos):

2024 – Gidleigh Park (GB) – Albert Bartlett (6th)

2023 – Rock My Way (IRE) – Albert Bartlett (Pulled Up)

2022 – North Lodge (IRE) – No Race

2020 – Harry Senior (IRE) – Albert Bartlett (Pulled Up)

2019 – Birchdale (IRE) – Albert Bartlett (Pulled Up)

2018 – Santini (GB) – Albert Bartlett (3rd)

2017 – Wholestone (IRE) – Albert Bartlett (3rd)

2016 – Yanworth – Turners’ Novices’ Hurdle (2nd)

2015 – Ordo Ab Chao (IRE) – Turners’ Novices’ Hurdle (7th)

2014 – Red Sherlock (GB) – Turners’ Novices’ Hurdle (9th)

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