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Daryl Carter’s Best Bets – Saturday, 22nd April

Top Tipster Daryl Carter gets his weekend picks in early as he lines up a big old 3 point pick!

Back his selections with BetUK’s HUGE new customer offer of £30 in Free Bets when you deposit and bet £10!

Posted: 1pm April 19th (Odds correct at time posted)

Updated: 6.08pm April 19th (Mustazeed + Warning Sign selections added)

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1.30 Newbury – MOJO STAR (1pt win – 11/2 generally)

A lot relies on the well-being of favourite Hurricane Lane, but MOJO STAR looks like a fair price to take a punt, particularly given Hurricane Lane failed to match his smart three-year-old form in two runs last season. This is far easier for him, but the selection doesn’t have much to find, having finished ahead of him in the Derby and soft ground is a big positive to his chances over this distance, and he has an excellent record the twice he has run fresh including here and is still improving. His two course runs entitle him to more respect than the market is giving him, and he may be worth chancing.

Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3)

2.05 Newbury – EMBRACE (1pt e/w – 40/1 Paddy Power/Betfair, 33/1 Betvictor, 28/1 generally)

I like backing Owen Burrows’ horses when ridden by Jim Crowley. They have an excellent 25% strike rate on turf (60-240), and they are 8-34 here at Newbury and hugely profitable to back £18 to a £1 level stake. They have won together on five of their last six runners here at Newbury, including in Group 1 company and with two-year-olds. Backing just their partnership on three-year-olds sees them 17-50 (34%) from their last 50 runners for a profit of £61.33 to a £1 level stake and those going to turf from the AW 25% (10-39). EMBRACE looks worth chancing switched to the turf after an impressive win at Wolverhampton. She has a 1,000 Guineas entry and is bred to be suited by this soft surface. 40/1 looks massive. Take no less than 20/1 and back her each-way four places.

Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies)

2.25 Ayr – SOARING GLORY (2pt win – 13/2 Will Hill/Unibet,6/1 generally)

SOARING GLORY has been in the doldrums for a while, but this is the first time he has had good in-the-going description since his fifth in the Betfair Hurdle off 147 last February, and he threw in a poor chase run in two runs since. He is handicapped to have a big say returned to a sounder surface and 2m for the first time since. The key here is connections giving him a break of 110 days. His record when returning from a break of 50 days or more over hurdles reads 11111. This has obviously been the target for him, and he makes the most appeal over Colonel Mustard, who should have got the job done at Kelso for us (suffered overreach).

Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

3.00 Ayr – DATSALRIGHTGINO (NAP) (3pt win – 6/1 Will Hill, 5/1 generally)

I was baffled that the money came for DATSALRIGHTGINO in the Cheltenham Plate, given that race favours those ridden prominently and his hold-up running style would never suit the race. We have followed him all season until his last two runs because they were unsuitable. At Kempton, we knew he would jump out to the left and got him beat with Solo. Still, today is the day everything falls right for him. This Ayr track has four fences in the home straight, which means it’s very difficult for those on the pace to get away from you, and he has plenty of time to make his challenge. The cheek-pieces worn at Cheltenham are off, and this drying ground will see him to good effect. He has been destined a win all season in better company, and today can see him to the best effect while this is Jamie Snowden’s only runner on the Ayr card.

Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

4.55 Newbury – MUSTAZEED (1pt win – SP) + WARNING SIGN (1pt win – 10/1 generally)

MUSTAZEED was frustrating for us to back last season, but he certainly shaped like a horse that was well ahead of the handicapper once putting it all together. He was a big eye-catcher behind our winning selection Perseus Way at this venue when denied a clear run multiple times on seasonal return for his former trainer. He was short of room again at Yarmouth and York before catching the eye on heavy ground from the rear of the field at Doncaster under the inexperienced Kaiya Fraser. Now switched to Harry Eustace and ridden by the excellent Kieran Shoemark, he should be able to make his presence felt, and any worsening of the ground tomorrow will be of no issue.

WARNING SIGN did best of those in the Spring Mile from a low draw at Doncaster, and his effort is probably underestimated given a very inexperienced jockey rode him in Anna Gibson and would have likely finished a good deal closer than his finishing position. Tom Queally takes back the reigns, and with that under his belt, better can be expected. He is completely unexposed – the least exposed in this field by some margin – and wasn’t seen to best effect at either Goodwood or Sandown last season in slowly run races. He makes plenty of appeal.

Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Handicap

Daryl Carter’s Best Bets

1.30 Newbury – MOJO STAR (1pt win – 11/2 generally)

2.05 Newbury – EMBRACE (1pt e/w – 40/1 Paddy Power/Betfair, 33/1 Betvictor, 28/1 generally)

2.25 Ayr – SOARING GLORY (2pt win – 13/2 Will Hill/Unibet,6/1 generally)

3.00 Ayr – DATSALRIGHTGINO (NAP) (3pt win – 6/1 Will Hill, 5/1 generally)

4.55 Newbury – MUSTAZEED (1pt win – SP) + WARNING SIGN (1pt win – 10/1 generally)


Check out this weeks Weekend Watch, where Daryl, Andrew Mount + Kate Tracey talk us through their tips for the ITV racing at Ayr + Newbury: