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Daryl Carter’s Best Bets – Saturday, 25th March

After a very well-earned break, Top Tipster Daryl Carter has his Saturday picks including a confident 2pt NAP.

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Posted: 10.45am March 24th (Odds correct at time of writing)

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13:30 Newbury – BLOW YOUR WAD (1pt e/w – 15/2 bet365, 7/1 generally)

A chance is given to BLOW YOUR WAD, who returns to action after a short break of 77 days, having had a wind operation and is now equipped with the first-time tongue-tie and is making his handicap debut. His latest effort on deep ground at Sandown in the Grade 1 Tolworth Hurdle is easily forgiven, and he could get back on track now and confirm the promise of his previous two efforts over hurdles in calmer waters. He is a strong stayer, and this step up in distance is likely to suit while his trainer has a 40% strike rate with handicap debutants in the last two years. Inneston is the right favourite, but he must prove he can handle a quick turnaround having had a hard race at Sandown 14 days ago, while Paul Nicholls made it clear that Toothless “was what he was” and “was not well handicapped” after victory at Wincanton last time out and outside of the top of the market many are hard to make a case for, so I am happy to play the selection each-way here.

Bet In-Play On Racing With BetVictor Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

14:05 Newbury – ESPOIR DE GUYE (1pt win – 5/1 generally)

ESPOIR DE GUYE was 18 lengths behind The Big Bite in the Greatwood Gold Cup, but that was his first start for Paul Nicholls and first after a wind operation. He shaped in need of the run, and today he is seven pounds better off but more importantly, gets his soft ground conditions for the first time since scoring in a three-runner affair at Warwick off five pounds higher. He is handicapped to have a say now with that run under his belt, and Nicholls has won this three times in the last eight years. He gets the narrow vote over the respected Eden Du Houx, having been reignited by the fitting of the cheek-pieces on his last three starts in Britain.

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15:00 Kelso – BONTTAY(2pt win NAP – 9/4 bet365, 2/1 generally)

Backing Fergal O’Brien runners partnered by Paddy Brennan at Kelso in the last five years would have seen six winners from ten runners, and they look to have a good chance of enhancing that with BONTTAY. She is progressive and will appreciate this stiff finishing track, and the fitting of the cheek-pieces looks like a good move after she had a good look at the final flight on her latest outing. She has more to offer, and this opening handicap rating should not be beyond her on all known form. This is the trainer and jockey’s only runner and ride of the day.

BetVictor Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

15:35 Kelso – HILL SIXTEEN (1pt win – 6/1 generally)

HILL SIXTEEN has been knocking on the door in better races than this, and his two efforts at Kelso have resulted in excellent runs. His latest (on his penultimate start) saw him chase home Sounds Russian, who was in the process of running a fantastic race in the Gold Cup before being brought down. Prior to that, he ran a good second in Listed company, and his time is surely near. He has recently had a wind operation and arrives off a 112-day break, and he has proven to go well fresh. This is a drop into calmer waters, and he is well ahead on my time figures.

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Daryl Carter’s Best Bets

13:30 Newbury – BLOW YOUR WAD (1pt e/w – 15/2 bet365, 7/1 generally)

14:05 Newbury – ESPOIR DE GUYE (1pt win – 5/1 generally)

15:00 Kelso – BONTTAY(2pt win NAP – 9/4 bet365, 2/1 generally)

15:35 Kelso – HILL SIXTEEN (1pt win – 6/1 generally)