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Daryl Carter’s Best Bets (Saturday, July 9th)

Dary; Carters Tips

We have a busy day of racing on what many are calling “Super Saturday” . Check out Daryl Carter’s selections across the days cards, with his picks coming from Newmarket, Ascot, York and Hamilton. View out his tips and thoughts on each below, and why not sign up to bet365, which is offering £50 In Free Bets to new customers, when you sign-up and bet £10.


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2.25 Ascot – Berkshire Breeze (1pt win – 4/1 generally)

There have been three three-year-olds to run in this race in the last eight years, winning once, finishing a 3/4 length second, and the other was a 14/1 chance running out of the handicap.

It might pay to look closer at Inverness and BERKSHIRE BREEZE, who have both looked in need of this extra distance and are both open to further improvement. The former looks on a stiff enough mark on the balance – his Goodwood win was courtesy of a pace collapse – but the selection has given the impression there is more to come, and now handicapping off what looks a very fair workable handicap mark, he gets the vote.


14.25 Hi-Speed Services Handicap
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2.40 Newmarket – Jimi Hendrix (1pt win – 7/2 generally)

JIMI HENDRIX put up a remarkable performance on the front end despite being keen early on in the Britannia, and that’s easily the strongest form in this contest and perhaps the strongest of the year in handicapping terms. He is up five pounds for that effort, but in the hope, Rob Hornby is a little more restrained with him, we may see him at his best.

He has improved with each outing, and he should have no trouble making his presence felt in this contest. Laasudood could go well, but Bay Of Honour is feared the most after showing a good turn of foot to get on top of Positive Impact at Thirsk and should confirm the form with that one if taking a step forward for his first start of the season.


14.40 bet365 Mile Handicap
Result
1st 7/2
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3.00 Ascot – Lovely Mana (1pt win – 10/1 generally)

LOVELY MANA is thriving at the moment, and the fitting of the cheek-pieces has really brought the best out in her, and she comes here in search of a hattrick after scoring in excellent style at Sandown six days ago. Her form figures in June or July now read 113138.

She is drawn well in stall 12 (usually come down the stands side), and Saffie Osborne negotiates three of the eight-pound rise.


15.00 Betfred Heritage Handicap
Result
4th 10/1
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3.15 Newmarket – For A Laugh (1pt win – 33/1)

This race is asking for an upset, and despite the powerhouse owners of Godolphin at the top of the market, the standard really isn’t set all that high. FOR A LAUGH did remarkably well from the rear of the field at Sandown when held up off a slow pace, and once overcoming his greenness, he looks a potential improver. The market has written him off, but this is not a vintage renewal, and the stronger pace he is likely to get here will see his strong finishing effort to best effect.

The second and the seventh have both won next time from his Sandown outing, and the booking of Jamie Spencer catches the eye. Lion Of War is likely going to make this a good test, while Dark Thirty and Isaac Shelby won’t be far away, so he is worth siding with at big odds.


15.15 bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2)
Result
4th 25/1
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15.35 Ascot – Mutasaabeq (1pt win – 7/2 generally)

This is a tricky race, and there’s not much between Chindit, Modern News, My Oberon, and Perotto, while Tactical shouldn’t be written off on this step back up in grade, although the round course does ask new questions.

MUTASAABEQ emerged with plenty of credit at Epsom when doing best of those from off the pace – something it has been notoriously difficult to do this past few months at the Epsom venue. He hung down the camber, which hindered his chances of pegging back Modern News and Megallan, who was always well positioned, and he finished with running left on that occasion. A return to a more conventional track could see him continue his fine start to the season.

He has improved from three to four and has left the impression we have not seen the best of him yet. He scored in good style at Thirsk on seasonal return before being unlucky in the run at Sandown, going down narrowly. He is more mature this year, and although he has been behind Chindit twice, he didn’t finish out his races on either of those occasions and one at Goodwood, where he looked to have his measure before being denied a clear run up the rail.

He could have more to offer, and there was little between Chindit and himself in the 2,000 Guineas, so he offers a little value in this small field contest. Tactical may get a saver from me.


15.35 Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2)
Result
2nd 7/2
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3.50 Newmarket – Jumby (1pt win – 7/1 generally)

Montassib was a two-point selection at Royal Ascot but was denied a clear run and didn’t have the gears to recover quick enough but stuck to the task strongly in the closing stages. There’s little between himself and Rhoscolyn, who finished fast in the same race at Ascot, but I like Newmarket form when it comes to these contests.

I have been screaming for JUMBY to go back up to 7f, for which he ran a career-best RPR rating of 113 when scoring on the Rowley Mile last September when a MAX bet selection. He has taken a while to come to hand this term but put in a good shift when second behind the group horse Rohaan in the Wokingham. He looks ready to fulfil his early potential, and while he is not thrown in off of this handicap mark, he is unexposed over this trip and has been in desperate need of more of a stamina test.

The booking of Christophe Soumillon is a positive, given he is likely to be held up for a late run. There’s definitely a good pot in this horse even off of this mark of 105 (1lb higher than when scoring last September).


15.50 bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap)
Result
3rd 7/1
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4.05 York – First View (1pt each-way – 16/1)

This is a cracking race each year, and there are a few to be positive about, including FIRST VIEW, who offered stacks of promise as a two-year-old when scoring in both starts before a spell in Meydan saw him go off the boil. He has clearly had his issues but returned to Kempton off the back of an 811-day break to be narrowly denied on handicap debut off of a mark of 80 from a wide draw in stall 10 when shaping like he needed the outing.

It was a good step forward on his first start on British turf when scoring at Leicester last month in authoritative style, and he squeezes in here at the foot of the weights under a five pounds penalty. He looks well-treated on the balance of his two-year-old form. The runner-up at Leicester had previously chased home the useful Jimi Hendrix and has some strong form in defeat, so giving him ten pounds was no mean feat.

He showed a bright turn of foot there over 1m off a slow gallop, and he is sure to be seen to best effect off a strong pace and today’s step up in trip for the first time is highly likely to see further improvement. Stefano Cherchi claims three off his back, effectively allowing him to run off a mark of 86 (4lbs well in), and his trainer has targetted this race with him having entered before his Leicester win, so he will be delighted he has made the cut.

He is one of the few unexposed horses in the field, and he makes plenty of appeal at big double-figure odds.


16.05 John Smith’s Cup Handicap
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4.45 Ascot – Washraa (1pt win – 7/2 bet365, Will Hills)

WASHRAA must be on a competitive handicap mark on the balance of her form, and she was worthy of a big upgrade when running eight here in the Sandringham 22 days ago after clipping heels and almost coming down.

Kings Joy is a horse that I feel is well-handicapped also, but the selection – who raced alongside in the Sandringham – lost that ground and made it up hand over fist under hand and heels riding to finish ahead of that rival who was under maximum pressure.

Her previous win at Nottingham was value for more than the winning margin when only doing enough in front and needing every yard of the 1m trip for the first time. There’s more to come from her, and her AW form, notably her Kempton run behind Zanbaaq, reads well. She is improving with each run.


16.45 Village Hotels Fillies’ Handicap
Result
3rd 3/1
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7.00 Hamilton – He’s A Gentleman (1pt win – 11/4 bet365, 9/4 generally)

HE’S A GENTLEMAN takes a dip into calmer waters today after bumping into the useful First View at Leicester, and his previous runner-up efforts behind Britannia third Jimi Hendrix and the improving Barley read well in the context of this race.

He remains unexposed, unlike many of his rivals today, and he gets the handy weight for age allowance from four of his six rivals. He makes plenty of appeal with Paul Mulrennan in the saddle, and Hugo Palmer has a 43% strike rate at this venue.


19.00 Jordan Electrics Established 1975 Handicap
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Daryl Carter’s Best Bets

2.25 Ascot – Berkshire Breeze (1pt win – 4/1 generally)

2.40 Newmarket – Jimi Hendrix (1pt win – 7/2 generally)

3.00 Ascot – Lovely Mana (1pt win – 10/1 generally)

3.15 Newmarket – For A Laugh (1pt win – 33/1)

15.35 Ascot – Mutasaabeq (1pt win – 7/2 generally)

3.50 Newmarket – Jumby (1pt win – 7/1 generally)

4.05 York – First View (1pt each-way – 16/1)

4.45 Ascot – Washraa (1pt win – 7/2 bet365, Will Hills)

7.00 Hamilton – He’s A Gentleman (1pt win – 11/4 bet365, 9/4 generally)


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