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Daryl Carter’s Best Bets – Wednesday, 12th April

Top Tipster Daryl Carter looks to tee up a big week with two selections at Kempton on Wdnesday.

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Posted: 6.28pm April 11th (Odds correct at time posted)

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6.30 Kempton – ORZO (1.5pt win – 11/2 generally)

ORZO returns from a long layoff of 539 days, but she left a deep impression on debut over 7f here in October 2021, and she might offer a bit of value on the time figure she recorded there. She was quicker than Bay Of Honour (100), who ran in the following race and won with any amount in hand under no more than hand and heels and recorded a very useful closing sectional. There’s a significant improvement to come from her over this 1m, and she is a half-sister to some very talented sorts. Interesting that connections opt for Oisin Murphy on return, and together with horses off 250 days or more, they have an excellent 27% strike rate and are hugely profitable to back £24 to a £1 level stake with an ROI of 68%. There most recent runner they partnered with was April 3rd scorer Old Harrovian who had been off for 353 days, and those off for 350 days or more see the partnership 2-5 (last two winners). Those off 200 days or more that are fillies are 3-10 (30%) and tend to be underestimated by the market.

More Extra Place Races At Unibet Novice Stakes

7.30 Kempton – TOLLARD ROYAL (1pt win – 5/2 Bet365, 15/8 generally)

There are a few course specialists here, but most of them are drawn wide, so this could be a good opportunity for the returning TOLLARD ROYAL, who won off a similar break last year at Beverley by making all the running and is drawn well in stall two today to adopt similar tactics. William Buick always catches the eye for this yard with a 27% strike rate on the AW, and this horse scored in good style on his only visit over the useful Berkshire Breeze (89) on debut. The selection left the impression at Beverley on his final start in September that there was plenty more to come now the hood has been removed, so he gets the vote to pick up the progressive thread off of a fair handicap rating on the balance of his form.

Unibet 3 Uniboosts Per Day Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Daryl Carter’s Best Bets

6.30 Kempton – ORZO (1.5pt win – 11/2 generally)

7.30 Kempton – TOLLARD ROYAL (1pt win – 5/2 Bet365, 15/8 generally)

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