The GG Tips Den returns to action on Thursday with a pair of novice hurdle bets running at Uttoxeter and Tramore. Our tipster Kevin O'Malley nailed 2 winners from 3 bets on Tuesday and seems confident these two will run very well today...
In a weak 2m maiden to open Tramore’s jumps card, Aoibhe’s Beau looks a huge price at 10/1 this morning. She was pulled up on her hurdling debut, but we got a better insight into her jumping ability at Clonmel last time out, where she jumped really nicely throughout the contest. She could only manage 4th, but posted an adjusted Topspeed rating of 83, which is much the best speed figure of its kind on show here; Catch My Drift aside who re-opposes having finished a couple of lengths behind the selection in the same race. The winner of that race looks fairly useful, while 2nd and the 3rd came out and ran respectably elsewhere since. Kevin Brouder could be a smart conditional jockey, he’s only had nine rides under rules to date, but he looks tidy and strong, so his 7lb claim catches the eye - taking her racing weight down to 10st 12lb - as does the application of a tongue tie on the 6yo mare. Perhaps this sharper track will suit too, helping her to finish off the race a little stronger, I just hope she doesn’t get left with too much to do under exaggerated hold up tactics. One or two regular worries aside - as with any poor race you’d get involved with - Aoibhe’s Beau should be running a really big race in this company.
Uttoxeter’s 4.30pm is a decent looking Novices’ Hurdle on paper, with several lightly-raced recruits open to improvement. Dostal Phil is the market leader for Philip Hobbs, with Tokay Dokey second in on the morning prices. While both have likeable profiles, neither have done a great deal on the track. At 11/2, I prefer the chances of Tom George’s Smuggler’s Blues, an athletic son of Yeats who shaped well under an educational ride at Wincanton when last seen back in April. He jumped well there, staying on quite well in the closing stages to snatch 3rd, producing a Racing Post Rating of 117 and a Topspeed figure of 104 in the process. There is every chance he’ll get better with racing and he looked the type who would benefit physically from a good summer to frame out a bit. George doesn’t have a particularly good record around here, but I’m hopeful his charge can go close here under the in-form Jonathan Burke.
All prices correct at the time of publication in the GG Tips Den, per the top/joint top prices available on the GG.CO.UK Racecards.
You can get in touch with me via email: Kevin.OMalley@GG.CO.UK OR by finding me on Twitter: @KOM_GGRacing
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