Kevin O’Malley returns to the GG Tips Den on Saturday with a 25/1 selection in the Unibet Lanzarote, along with four picks up in Warwick for their big Classic Chase card...
Having backed Lord Napier earlier in the week, we’re not in a bad position for the feature handicap hurdle of the day at 2.40pm in Kempton Park. But with favourable E/w terms about, it makes sense to have a saver or two and although he’s been busily campaigned of late, Neil King’s Canyon City looks a bit too big at 25/1. He won two races on the bounce in October, before running 2nd to a quality Kim Bailey trained horse called Younevercall. He was then a somewhat unlucky 2nd to Golden Jeffrey over 2m3f at Doncaster last month, where he ran to an RPR of 134 and Topspeed rating of 104, which is among the best sets of figures in this field. He may well be a little exposed in this much tougher company, but at the prices the 6yo is worth having a nibble on at morning odds.
Up in Warwick, Kim Bailey’s Rocky’s Treasure should have just a bit too much pace and class for OK Corral in an excellent 3m novice chase at 1.50pm. Secret Investor was progressive in 2018 and could have more to offer, but ultimately needs to improve another 8-10lb, while White Moon has a mountain to climb on the bare form of his recent Exeter win, but he is a nice sort too. Rocky’s Treasure ran to 156 / 126 on the same figures at Doncaster last time out, marking him down as a staying novice of the highest quality. An athletic type, he measures his fences really neatly and has a relentless galloping style that will be difficult to match around Warwick.
The Grade 2 Novice Hurdle at 2.25pm has cut up a bit more than I thought it would, but I think Jeremy Scott’s Champagne Court is being underestimated at 14/1 here in what doesn’t look a vintage renewal of the race. This 6yo weakened behind Angels Breath at Ascot last time out having shaped well for much of the race. Prior to that he won in a good time at Lingfield, staying on strongly to readily outgun his 17 rivals and I can see him getting involved here with a clean round of jumping.
It will be no easy task for Sizing Codelco to win the Classic Chase off top weight, attempting to defy a hefty BHA mark of 156. However, he is a class act with some undeniably notable form for this grade. He ran to 162 / 129 at Uttoxeter during the Summer of 2018 and although those Summer jumps figures can be inflated, Sizing Codelco can back it up with a similar performance when a 13 length 4th behind Might Bite in the Grade 1 Aintree Bowl. King George winner Clan Des Obeaux was only 3 lengths ahead of him that day, so it’s clear to see why a) this horse is capable of running well here and b) that double figure odds are probably under-selling his chance a bit.
Finally Keeper Hill, who travelled strongly and for the most part and jumped low and neat on his return to hurdles at Cheltenham last time out. That effort puts him top on the ratings I use and at 4/1, he rates a good value punt in an admittedly warm race. The fact he has a nice racing weight of 10st 13lb with a good claimer taking off 5lb, makes him more likely to be very competitive off his mark of 139 in my book.
All prices correct at the time of publication in the GG Tips Den, per the top/joint top prices available on the GG.CO.UK Racecards.
You can get in touch with me via email: Kevin.OMalley@GG.CO.UK OR by finding me on Twitter: @KOM_GGRacing
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